10-29-09

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-29-09

charlie
ncaaf,world series & nba. mlb. phillies @ yankees under 9 runs. nba. spurs @ bulls over 193. ncaaf. north carolina+16'. (500*)
world series. phillies+175 (30*)
ncaaf. unc @ va tech under 43' (20*)
nba. denver+7 (20*)
nhl. st. louis-140 (10*)
nba. chicago+4' (10*) free play

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-29-09

northcoast marquee customer appreciation week

vir.tech

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-29-09

FantasySportsGametime.com

Thursday Football


NCAA Football

100* Play Virginia Tech (-16.5) over North Carolina (TOP NCAA PLAY)

Virginia Tech has won 16 of the last 17 home games over the last 3 seasons and they have also won 14 of the last 17 games coming off a loss against the spread. Virginia Tech has won 9 of the last 11 games coming off a road game and they are averaging over 36 points a game on offense in home games this season.

[kreekor]

Re: 10-29-09

Dave Malinsky

Top of the Ticket - Spurs/Bulls

San Antonio Spurs (-2.5) over CHICAGO BULLS

4* #501 SAN ANTONIO over CHICAGO

When we get deeper into the season, a rested home team against an opponent that had to travel after playing the previous night is an advantage. But not now; in fact it is the team that played already that brings the edges, particularly for the way that the Spurs performed in a dominating 113-96 win over New Orleans that was even easier than the final score would indicate. And that gets us in the game at this short price range. When we do our usual pre-season work of compiling the most improved teams in the league, it is usually a set of mediocre squads that made some personnel additions to move forward. Rarely is it ever a team of San Antonio?s class, and we believe the markets will take some time to adjust properly. First note that LY?s 54-28 was an injury-riddled affair, and that merely having the roster back to health would lead to more wins, even with the age of the veteran corps. But take that corps and add the likes of Richard Jefferson, Antonio McDyess, and DeJuan Blair and you have something special. Now it is a deep and talented roster filled with players that are only after a Championship ring, not personal numbers, and there is no one better than Gregg Popovich at putting the pieces together. Last night?s rout was an almost perfect tune-up for this game. No San Antonio player was on the court longer than Matt Bonner?s 28 minutes, with the starters playing exactly half (120 minutes) of the total game time. The bench actually scored 61 of the 113 points, while the Hornet reserves had 19, and that is going to be a major story line all season. Of particular note were the opening 14 points and 11 rebounds from rookie Blair, who New Orleans coach Byron Scott referred to simply as ?a monster?. Not only does Blair bring muscle and determination, but can he learned the position from anyone better than Tim Duncan? The Spurs should bring their best value in settings like this one, with the poise to handle a road crowd and their late-game polish grinding out wins in tough environment. For the Bulls it is another matter. The starting five is a collection of young players that have not had much time working together, and the bench is going to miss the punch of Ben Gordon. They will play with some frenetic energy, but that does not always translate to good basketball, and they fall down tonight vs. an opponent that can exploit that aggressiveness.

[kreekor]

Re: 10-29-09

Matt Fargo

Line movement

The Hokies opened up as 16.5-point favorites and that number can be had in most places still. Some shops have jumped the number up to -17 and there is a good possibility most will hot that number by game time.

The early total opened at 44 and was quickly bet down to 42 and that is where most other books opened their total at as well.

Injuries

There are no significant injuries on the either side.

Weather

The weather should not be a factor as there is a slight chance of rain with a temperature reaching a low of 55 degrees.

Thursday house of horrors

Playing in Blacksburg is always a challenge for the visiting team. Virginia Tech has won 12 consecutive home games with its last home loss coming October 25, 2007 against Boston College. Since 2003, the Hokies are 40-5 straight up and 23-16-1 ATS in lined games.

Playing in this spot has been solid as Virginia Tech is 9-2 all-time on Thursday night ESPN broadcasts at Lane Stadium.

In their five Thursday night home games since joining the ACC, the Hokies are 4-1 and the defense has put together some incredible efforts. In those five games, they have allowed 183 rushing yards on 115 carries for a gaudy average of 36.6 yards per game and 1.6 yards per carry.

Defensive collapse

The Tar Heels looked like the defense was going to be the deciding factor last week against Florida State. They played well against the run but they were prone to big pass plays in the second half, when they weren't able to get pressure on the quarterback.

After holding the Seminoles to 77 yards of offense through seven possessions, quarterback Christian Ponder directed the offense on four straight scoring drives (three touchdowns, one field goal) that totaled 290 yards with a 9.7 yards per pass. He completed his last 16 passes.

The Tar Heels are still ranked first in the ACC in total defense but a meltdown like last week is something that might take a while to go away.

Defensive déjà vu?

The Virginia Tech defense in 2009 looks awfully familiar to that of the 2008 version.

Virginia Tech's defense ranked no better than 33rd in every major category after seven games last year. The Hokies then pulled it together, closed the season with a smothering run, won the ACC Championship and the Orange Bowl and ended up seventh in the country in total defense.

Fast forward to 2009, and the Hokies are 31st nationally in total defense, having mixed in a few defensive duds with a couple great performances.

The defense has allowed 12 rushes of 20 yards or longer. In twice as many games last season, it allowed only 14. In order for the Hokies to even sniff the possibility of the ACC Championship, a defensive resurgence will need to take place once again.

Rushing numbers don’t lie

The team that wins the rushing battle will likely win this matchup and there are some interesting statistics heading into this game.

The Tar Heels defense is ranked second in the ACC in rushing, allowing 102.6 yards per game on 2.1 yards per carry. But send them on the road and the numbers skyrocket to 194.5 yards per game on 3.7 yards per carry. The Hokies meanwhile are averaging 203.7 yards per game on 4.8 yards per carry on the year including 259.2 yards per game on 5.3 yards per carry at home.

Last week against the Seminoles, the Tar Heels ran for 238 yards on 5.8 yards per carry but that may have been an aberration. North Carolina is now averaging 98.0 yards per game on 3.6 yards per carry in conference games which shows how bad it was coming in.

Since the start of the 1999 season, Virginia Tech is 95-10 when outrushing its opponent.

Carolina road woes

Since ACC expansion in 2004, the Tar Heels are 1-13 in ACC road games outside of the state of North Carolina and that includes a 0-1 record this season after a 24-7 loss at Georgia Tech.

North Carolina hasn't beaten a ranked opponent on the road since a 38-3 win at Clemson on October 20, 2001 a span of 16 games. Those losses have come by an average of 22.6 ppg.

Virginia Tech is 5-0 against North Carolina since joining the ACC in 2004, and the five-game winning streak matches the longest by either team in the series. The average margin of victory in those five games is 13 ppg but three of those have been decided by a touchdown or less.

Bottom Line

Virginia Tech is 16-6 ATS it its last 22 Thursday games and it is 7-2 ATS against a team with a winning record.

Meanwhile the Tar Heels are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

As for the total, North Carolina is 12-2 to the under against teams averaging 8.5 or more yards per attempt since 1992 while the Hokies are 6-0 to the under in home games against passing teams with a completion rate of 58 percent or more over the last three seasons.

[kreekor]

Re: 10-29-09

Pick 'n' Roll: Today's best NBA bets

San Antonio Spurs at Chicago Bulls (+3.5, 193)

Ever since Michael Jordan retired (for the second time, not the third) the Bulls have been struggling to find a go-to scorer. Some will argue that Chicago had that with Ben Gordon, but the team decided to let the streaky shooter leave in free agency.

The Bulls believe they finally have a franchise player instead of just a bunch of above average parts. Point guard Derrick Rose surpassed lofty expectations in his rookie campaign, but he might start out of the blocks a bit slower in his second year.

Rose is bothered by a sore tendon behind his right ankle. The injury has forced the former Memphis star to miss practice this week, but he will be on the court Thursday against the Spurs.

Still, the defending Rookie of the Year isn’t too optimistic about playing more than 30 minutes.

“It’s going to be tough, I’ll tell you that,” Rose said. “I’m like an old man. I gotta wait 20, 30 minutes into practice to get loosened up. And it gets stiff when I stop playing.”

Chicago becomes more of a defensive and slower-paced team when Kirk Hinrich takes over the point guard duties.

Pick: Under


Denver Nuggets at Portland Trail Blazers (-7, 198.5)

We may have got a glimpse at just how defensively dominant the Blazers are going to be this season. Either that or we just found out how bad Houston is going to be without Yao Ming and Tracy McGrady.

Portland outrebounded Houston 51-33 and Rockets big man Luis Scola found little day light in the paint all night. Scola, who is Houston’s best low post scorer, finished with just three points.

The best news for Portland supporters was the contributions from Martel Webster. The former first round draft pick missed all of last season due to injury and was pushed into the starting lineup after Nicolas Batum underwent shoulder surgery.

Webster chipped in with 14 points on 4-of-7 shooting from the field. Blazers coach Nate MacMillan wants to keep Travis Outlaw in the sixth man role, so Webster’s production is vital to the first unit’s success.

Look for Portland’s bench scoring to be the driving force behind a Thursday home win over the Nuggets.

Pick: Blazers

[kreekor]

Re: 10-29-09

Ice picks: Today's best NHL bets

Washington Capitals at Atlanta Thrashers (+150, 6)

The news in Atlanta keeps on getting worse. The Thrashers have dropped three straight after winning four of their first five games. Of course the biggest worry is how the club will be able to turn things around without Ilya Kovalchuk in the lineup.

Kovalchuk, by far Atlanta’s best player, is expected to miss the next four weeks because of a broken bone in his right foot. The sniper had already notched nine goals and leads the team with 10 points.

Atlanta coach John Anderson says he won’t let his team use the absence of Kovalchuk as an excuse.

“As soon as you think it’s OK to lose, then you’ve lost that game,” he told the Atlanta Journal Constitution. “We can’t feel sorry for ourselves.”

Anderson held a meeting with his team’s leaders to drive the point home.

Realists will argue it’s going to be tough for the Thrashers to find the back of the net without Kovalchuk. It doesn’t help either that scoring center Nik Antropov is questionable for Thursday’s game due to a sore groin.

Pick: Capitals


Detroit Red Wings at Edmonton Oilers (+125, 5.5)

The flu bug the Oilers are trying to fight off might be a little more serious than originally thought. News broke Wednesday morning that Edmonton defenseman Ladislav Smid tested positive for swine flu.

Smid, who played though the sickness last week, is reportedly feeling much better (the test results didn’t come back until four days later), but Edmonton backers have to be nervous about the possibility of the flu bug lingering in the locker room.

Coach Pat Quinn has had to shuffle lines several times over the last few games because of sick players coming in and out of the lineup.

Quinn is working on solving his club’s scoring woes. The Oilers have zero goals in their last seven periods and have just two tallies in their last three games.

Pick: Red Wings

[kreekor]

Re: 10-29-09

Joe Wiz

den/port under

[kreekor]

Re: 10-29-09

CAPPERS ACCESS

Yankees(RL)
Virginia Tech

[kreekor]

Re: 10-29-09

Tom Freese

NHL | Oct 29
Phoenix Coyotes vs. St. Louis Blues Total
5½ un-130 at 5dimes > 11h.
Phoenix is 7-2 UNDER their last 9 games overall and they are 11-4 UNDER vs. a team with a losing record. The Coyotes are 20-6 UNDER their last 26 Thursday games and they are 8-1 UNDER vs. NL Central teams. St.Louis is 18-7-4 their last vs. a team with a winning road record and they are 5-0-2 UNDER their last 7 games. The Blues are 5-2-1 UNDER their last 8 Thursday games and they are 7-2 UNDER their last 9 meetings with the Coyotes. PLAY ON 'UNDER'

NHL | Oct 29
Detroit Red Wings vs. Edmonton Oilers Total
5½ ov-125 at 5dimes > 12h.
Detroit is 34-16-1 OVER when playing with one day of rest and they are 7-3 OVER their last 10 road games. The Red Wings are 19-9 OVER vs. Northwest Division teams and they are 7-3-1 OVER their last 11 games at Edmonton. The Oilers are 20-6-1 OVER vs. an opponent that scored 5 or more goals in their last game and they are 4-1 OVER when playing with one day of rest. Edmonton is 5-2 OVER after scoring 2 or less goals in their last game and they are 5-2 OVER on Thursday. 10* PLAY ON 'OVER

[kreekor]

Re: 10-29-09

DAVE COKIN COMP

(13) VANCOUVER CANUCKS
(14) LOS ANGELES KINGS

Take "(14) LOS ANGELES KINGS"

[kreekor]

Re: 10-29-09

JIM FEIST

(13) VANCOUVER CANUCKS
(14) LOS ANGELES KINGS TAKE "OVER"

A road trip south for Vancouver, a banged up team. Canucks center Ryan Johnson was carried off the ice on a stretcher after sliding headfirst into the end boards early in the second period of Tuesday night's game against the Detroit Red Wings. Johnson was taken to a nearby hospital for further observation. Vancouver center Kyle Wellwood became the latest Canucks player injured when he broke his big toe. The first place LA Kings are 4-1 at home and the offense is smoking, scoring 20 goals the last 4 games (all wins). Look for plenty of offense by the home team, play the Canucks/Kings Over the total!

[kreekor]

Re: 10-29-09

Sports Gambling Hotline


Tonight another World Series total play, only this time we are going OVER the posted total.

After getting dominated by Cliff Lee for the full 9 frames last night, look for the desperate Yankees to have success against Pedro Martinez, a pitcher they have handled before from his Boston days.

Pedro tossed a gem in division series play, but the weather tonight is not in his favor, and the fact the Yankees cannot afford to go back to Philadelphia down 0-2 is also not in his favor.

The Yankees will score some runs tonight, of that we have little doubt.

The same is true of the Phillies who should get their cuts in against the inconsistent AJ Burnett.

8 of Philadelphia's last 10 road games have played HIGH, and this one will as well.

Play on the OVER in Game Two of the World Series.
5? OVER

[kreekor]

Re: 10-29-09

Bobby Maxwell

Denver is the better team – at least right now – and them catching this many points in Portland is a little strange, but nevertheless, I love Denver in this situation.

The Nuggets just beat up the Jazz 114-105 on Wednesday night, as Carmelo Anthony did what he’s supposed to do, put up big numbers and lead his team to the win. Denver covered as a 5 1/2-point favorite as Anthony had 30 points and PG Chauncey Billups chipped in with 25.

This Nuggets’ team is going to be a serious threat to the Lakers in the Western Conference. They are all familiar with one another and they all seem to like playing together. Tonight they are going to go into Portland and easily get within this number.

Denver has dominated this rivalry the last few years, going 24-10-1 ATS in the last 35 meetings, including 11-5-1 in the last 17 played in the Rose Garden in Portland.

The Nuggets are on some serious ATS streaks, including 22-7 overall, 21-6 against Western Conference teams, 6-1 on the road (all as a ‘dog).

Portland beat the Rockets on Tuesday, 96-87 and barely covered as an 8 ½-point favorite. But this team has a few new faces to work into the regular rotation.

I’m loving Denver tonight, so grab the points and play the Nuggets.
3? DENVER