10-15-09

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-15-09

Matt F@rgo 10/15

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**9** MLB NLCS GM1 DOMINATOR **82% ANGLE**
The Dodgers ride some big momentum into the NLCS after a sweep of the Cardinals and they will be out for some payback following a loss to the Phillies in last season’s playoffs. Los Angeles lost the first two games in Philadelphia last season and could not get out of that hole so it will be ready to reverse that this October. The big advantage obviously is starting the playoffs at home where they are 52-31 on the season. Game One starter Clayton Kershaw has been on a sol id role as he has allowed two runs or fewer in seven straight starts even though all of those have not been quality outings. He started his first ever playoff game in the NLDS against the Cardinals and pitched a great game, allowing just two runs in 6.2 innings. He has a 2.79 ERA and 1.24 WHIP on the season and that ERA drops to 1.89 in 17 starts at home. He will be opposed by Cole Hamels who is having some serious struggles. He has a 7.06 ERA and 1.48 WHIP over his last four starts and that does include a rough outing against the Rockies in the NLDS. He mowed down the Dodgers twice last season in the NLCS and pitched two quality performances against them this season making him a perfect 6-6 against Los Angeles. The problem is that he has not pitched against the Dodgers since June and he has been very inconsistent since then. Los Angeles is hitting .278 at home against left-handed pitching. The Dodgers fall into a very solid late season situation as well. Play against National League teams that are averaging 5.0 or more rpg going up against a team with a bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better in October games. This situation is 14-3 (82.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* Los Angeles Dodgers

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-15-09

Randall the Handle 10/15

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Tampa Bay +1.20 over OTTAWA (REG) Pinnacle
The Sens are playing some decent hockey to start the year but the jury is still out on whether they can be trusted as the chalk. The Sens are still not generating much offense and the power-play has been atrocious with one goal in 15 tries. Ottawa is playing a solid, disciplined, two-way game and not giving up much but a team that is having trouble scoring is a high risk laying juice. Meanwhile, the Lightning has won two in a row and have picked up points in four straight games but there’s more than that to like about them. They’ve scored a power-play goal in all five games this season and have registered at least 30 shots on goal in all five games. They’ve also outscored the opposition 8-3 in the third period and that’s also a good sign of things to come. The Bolts are getting solid goaltending and are definitely a threat to leave here with a win. Play: Tampa Bay +1.20 (Risking 2 units).

Colorado +1.34 over MONTREAL (REG) Pinnacle
Wow, talk about no respect. All the Av’s have done is shoot out of the gate to a 4-1-1 record and that includes wins over Boston, San Jose, Vancouver and a OT loss to Chicago. There are so many things to like about this intruder. The Av’s have scored at least one power-play goal in each game and 10 overall in 26 chances and has killed 21 of 24 penalties. Twelve different players have scored a goal and in net Craig Anderson is at the top of the hill. Anderson has started all six games and has a 1.98 goals-against average and .940 save percentage. The fact that Montreal is a favorite here is a joke and the fact that they’re favored by this much is a bigger joke. The Habs have two wins but they should’ve been buried in both those games, as they were badly outplayed by both the Maple Leafs and the Sabres. When the Canucks were down and out early, the Habs went in there and got smoked, 7-1. Sure, they can win here but without doubt, we’re going with the best of it by taking back a tag on the superior team in a great mindset. The Habs offer nothing as a favorite unless you like getting your bankroll destroyed. Overlay. Play: Colorado +1.34 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-15-09

Tim Trushel: 20* Featured Play: LA Dodgers Under 7.5 -120

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-15-09

Handicapper: Michael Alexander
Cincinnati U vs. South Florida (NCAAF) - 7:45 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: 2/-104 South Florida Play Title: Play on S. Florida
Rating: 2 Units
CINCINNATI is 7-15-1 ATS in their last 23 games as a road favorite
S. FLORIDA is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog
S. FLORIDA is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a bye week.
CINCINNATI is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.


Thursday, October 15, 2009
Handicapper: Michael Alexander
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (MLB) - 8:05 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: -135 Los Angeles Dodgers Play Title: Play on LA Dodgers Rating: 2 Units
LA DODGERS are 22-7 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in home games after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season.
LA DODGERS are 19-6 (+10.7 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 this season.
HAMELS is 4-10 (-10.1 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.8 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.


Handicapper: Michael Alexander
Colorado Avalanche vs. Montreal Canadiens (NHL) - 7:35 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: 136 Colorado Avalanche Play Title: Play on Colorado
Rating: 2 Units
MONTREAL is 43-48 ATS (-9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons
MONTREAL is 8-18 ATS (+26.0 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 67-43 ATS (+18.6 Units) in road games against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on >19% of chances since 1996.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-15-09

Tony Salinas
Tony's Diamond Highrollers
Thursday, October 15, 2009
25*
Dodgers {C.Kershaw} (-115) over Phillies {C.Hamels}
8:07 PM -- Dodger Stadium
Clear. Winds blowing in from left field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 75.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-15-09

jimmy boyd

Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
-135 at SIA
4* Major NLCS Smart Money Smash (TBS) on Dodgers -135
Hamels has not been on his game the way he was in the postseason a year ago. The Phillies have dropped each of his last 4 starts and five of his last six road starts. Over his last 3 starts, his ERA is 7.98. Kershaw has been running much hotter for the Dodgers. The Dodgers have won each of his last 2 starts and they were big ones, a division clincher against Colorado and a NLDS win against St. Louis. He has a ridiculous ERA of just 1.89 in home starts this season. Home field, revenge, and a better bullpen are three more factors in LA's favor. The Dodgers fell behind 0-2 in Philly in last year's NLCS and ended up losing the series in 5 games. With home field on their side, they'll be looking to get off to a good start and to pay the Phillies back. Dodgers have a big edge in the pen as well with an ERA of just 2.71 in home games this season. Take the Dodgers in Game 1.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-15-09

2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 7.5 Philadelphia at L.A. Dodgers (8 p.m., Thursday, Oct. 15)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #951 Philadelphia (+125) over L.A. Dodgers (8 p.m., Thursday, Oct. 15)

Ferringo

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-15-09

4 Unit Play. Take Over 7.5 between Philadelphia Phillies @ LA Dodgers (Thursday @ 8:05pm est).

Write-up to come shortly,

Good luck,

IC

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-15-09

Teddy june

10* usf

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-15-09

EZWINNERS

Philadelphia Phillies @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers -$137

I'm not sold on Philadelphia starting pitcher Cole Hamels. Hamels has hardly pitched like an ace of the staff this season. I would not be surprised at all to see the Dodgers get to him early and often. The Dodgers starting pitcher Clayton Kershaw has been lights out at home this season and should do a good job against all of the left handed hitting of Philadelphia. The Phillies hit just .214 against the Dodgers in seven games this season which was Philadelphia's second lowest average against any NL team this year. I look for the Dodgers to take game one of this NLDS. Play on Los Angeles.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-15-09

Trace Adams

1500? Cincinnati

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-15-09

fairway jay

15 big drive s. fla

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-15-09

Trace Adams

1500* - Cincinnati Bearcats
Both schools come in at 5-0 straight up, both schools last played on October 3rd, so who comes out on top tonight?



At 1st glance, South Florida looks like an attractive home dog under the primetime lights, but non-lined wins against Wofford, Western Kentucky, and Charleston Southern make the Bulls 5-0 record look a little more like a paper-tiger than a real tiger with teeth.



The Bearcats have played the tougher schedule, and this Brian Kelly is a no-bullshit coach!



Cincinnati has won the last 3 series meetings, and they have covered the last 5 in this series.



True, the Bulls red-shirt QB Daniels has done well filling in for Groethe, and true the Bulls defensive coordinator held the same position with Cincinnati before Brian Kelly replaced him, but that just won't be enough against this Bearcats team.



No issue laying a few points here, as Cincy senior QB Pike has been on-fire this year through the air, and I have a feeling he will find a way to get his team in the winner's circle both straight up, and against the spread.



I am going with Cincinnati minus the small road chalk to continue on in their quest for perfection.



1500? - Cincinnati Bearcats

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-15-09

ATS

Baseball lock club:
3 units on the Dodger

Football financial club:
3 units on cinci/sf OVER