9-12-09

[Mr. IWS]

Fellas. You could really help out our forum by voting for us by going to this page and clicking the link below

http://www.investwithsports.com/toplist

then click on the little button that says, sports100.

There are no pop-ups or anything like that, and it helps us get more traffic to the forum.

Thanks a lot.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-12-09

Maddux

#306 - NCAA - 3 units on Connecticut +4
#327 - NCAA - 3 units on South Carolina +7
#330 - NCAA - 4 units on Tennessee -9
#364 - NCAA - 4 units on Southern Miss -14.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-12-09

Northcoast Sports's Pick Pack

Premium Plays
Matchup: Notre Dame at Michigan
Time: 3:30 PM EDT (Sat)

Play: Notre Dame (-3.5 -110)
Line Source: BETED
Posted on: September 10, 2009 @ 2:29:17 PM EDT

Notre Dame Over MICHIGAN - The home team is 8-2 SU and the L/3 have been decided by 27 ppg. UM had 6 TO’s and trailed 21-0 just 4:00 in LY and despite losing 35-17 they had a 388-260 yd edge. In Rod’s 2nd year at WV his team went from 21.4 ppg to 30.5 ppg and with a mobile QB like Forcier (PS#16) should be potent. They beat ND 38-0 the last time here and also won 38-0 in ‘03 which is the only 2 times the favorite has covered recently (dog is 11-2 ATS) with 6 outright upsets the L9Y. ND is 2-7 ATS in their first road game. Both started the season with thrashings of solid foes as the Irish dominated Nevada leading 28-0 at the half in a 35-0 win (510-307 yd edge). Clausen hit 15-18 for 315 yd with 4 TD passes including 3 to Floyd (189 yds). The D pitched the 1st shutout in the Weis era in Tenuta’s debut as the D play caller. UM took a rough week out on WM leading 31-0 at the half while outgaining the Broncos 289-79. Forcier threw for 179 yd and 3 TD while fellow true frosh Robinson had 74 yds rushing including a 43 yd TD run. ND has the edges on both sides of the ball (#4-21 off, #11-24 D) but this should go to the wire.

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Matchup: Louisiana Tech at Navy
Time: 3:30 PM EDT (Sat)

Play: Louisiana Tech (+8 -110)
Line Source: HILTON
Posted on: September 10, 2009 @ 2:29:17 PM EDT

Louisiana Tech (+) over NAVY - First meeting. Navy has only faced one current WAC member and dropped a 48-41 (-3) decision to Hawaii in ‘99 in Honolulu. The Midshipmen are just 1-7-1 ATS (4-6 SU) in their first “true” (in Annapolis) HG. However, Navy is an outstanding 37-8 SU and 26-13 ATS vs non-BCS tms S/’03 incl a mark of 20-4 SU (9-8 ATS) in gms played in Annapolis. LY Navy went 6-1 SU and 4-2 ATS vs non-BCS tms. LT played its first contest vs a service academy LY losing 14-7 (+2’) at Army gaining only 152 yds and 9 FD’s. The Bulldogs are just 2-15 SU and 3-14 ATS in non-conf AG but Tech is 6-1 SU and 4-0 ATS vs non-conf, non-BCS tms S/‘05. The two are nearly even on off (Navy #86-87), def (Navy #89-90) and ST (LT #71-84). The Bulldogs are coming off a 37-13 loss to Auburn where they were outgained 556-245 and outFD’d 27-19. Navy gave Ohio St a scare before falling 31-27 after scoring a pair of TD’s in less than four minutes but the potential game-tying 2pt conversion was returned the other way. The Midshipmen were only outgained 363-342 and FD’s were even at 19 apiece. LA Tech only has FCS Nicholls St on deck while Navy travels to Pittsburgh next. LA Tech now has the scheduling edge with Navy in a BCS sandwich and disregard LT’s performance LW vs a motivated SEC squad.

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Matchup: Rice at Texas Tech
Time: 7:00 PM EDT (Sat)

Play: Texas Tech (-26.5 -110)
Line Source: CAESARS
Posted on: September 10, 2009 @ 2:29:17 PM EDT

TEXAS TECH Over Rice - Rice fell at home 59-24 (+28) to TT in their last meeting in ‘07. These schools played every yr from 1960-‘95 (SWC) and the HT had won 7 in a row SU prior to ‘07. Mike Leach has a big ego and will note that Rice passed for 327 ypg in ‘08 and he’ll be anxious to show that his attack is better. Rice does not have QB Clement or WR Dilliard and also lost their OC. While both teams have a young QB, TT always does well no matter who is at QB and Rice’s production LY with a veteran senior QB was 126 ypg better than when Clement was a 1st year starter. The L4Y Rice has lost to Texas and TT by 41.4 ppg. The Owls were hoping to rely on an experienced D as they broke in new QB’s, but they allowed 516 yds to UAB in a 44-24 loss LW. QB’s Shepherd and Fanuzzi split snaps and neither distinguished himself as they combined to complete 22-42 (52%) for 235 yds with a 1-1 ratio. Tech is off a 38-13 win over FCS North Dakota as new starting QB Potts completed 32-47 (68%) for 420 yds but only had a 2-3 ratio. Tech has a huge game vs Texas on deck, but Rice is just 1-9 ATS vs BCS teams the L4Y. Rice has inexperienced QB’s and a young O-line and that will be a problem in a very tough and loud stadium, so we expect the Red Raiders to cruise to an easy home win.

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Matchup: Miss. State at Auburn
Time: 7:00 PM EDT (Sat)

Play: Auburn (-14 -110)
Line Source: ATLANTIS
Posted on: September 10, 2009 @ 2:29:17 PM EDT

AUBURN Over Mississippi St - Last year Auburn had a 315-116 yard edge but only won 3-2. Both are coming off of losing years and in ‘07 Miss St beat Auburn here in Jordan-Hare 19-14 (+13). We liked the Bulldogs here in ‘07 but this year the situation favors Auburn. The fav is 12-5 ATS in the series and Auburn is 15-1 SU and 12-4 ATS in their SEC openers. Miss St has just 10 ret sts and 28 lett lost while Auburn has 15 ret sts. Aub turned in an impressive opener with two 100+ yd rushers (true frosh McCalebb 148, 6.7 and Ben Tate 117, 5.8) while QB Todd threw for 255 (65%) and a 2-0 ratio. MSU defeated Jackson St 45-7 outgaining the lower-tier IAA team 410-194 with QB’s Lee and Relf splitting snaps (comb 172 yds, 64%, 3-0 ratio). Both tms have new HC’s and much more dynamic offenses with MSU HC Mullen bringing in Florida’s off and Aub OC Malzahn bringing in Tulsa’s spread which could mean that TY’s meeting might be the opposite of LY’s defensive slugfest.



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Matchup: Bowling Green at Missouri
Time: 7:00 PM EDT (Sat)

Play: Missouri (-18.5 -110)
Line Source: CAESARS
Posted on: September 10, 2009 @ 2:29:17 PM EDT

MISSOURI over Bowling Green - Missouri is 10-2 in home openers (win by 25 ppg). Pinkel has many MAC ties as he was a KSU grad, BG WR’s cch and Toledo’s HC (‘91-‘00). BG has beaten Pinkel twice: 20-13 in his 1st home game here in ‘01 and 51-28 at home in ‘02 (last meeting). Both teams are young as the Tigers are the least exp team in IA and BG has just 10 starters back and a new HC and are making their first road trip. The Falcons upset Troy 31-14 but that was inflated by a late 64 yd IR TD as they only had a 389-305 yd edge. BG QB Sheehan has avg 280 ypg (62%) in 4 games visiting BCS teams, including guiding 2 outright upsets and threw for 339 (73%) with a 2-1 ratio LW. The Tigers are off a 37-9 win (+6’) over Illinois in which they had a 442-325 yd edge and were +2 TO. Missouri QB Blaine Gabbert threw for 319 yds (76%) with a 3-0 ratio in his first start. Missouri has an FCS team on deck and will be focused here.

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Matchup: So. Cal at Ohio State
Time: 8:00 PM EDT (Sat)

Play: So. Cal (-6.5 -110)
Line Source: ATLANTIS
Posted on: September 10, 2009 @ 2:29:17 PM EDT

Usc Over OHIO ST - 2008’s matchup between these programs was much closer than the final as OSU had the 1H yd edge but had TWO TD’s called back on pen, missed a chip shot FG and played without star RB Wells, plus phenom QB Pryor was just getting acclimated to the system. OSU is 47-1 at home vs non-conf (only loss vs #2 Tex ‘05) but may have been looking ahead somewhat vs Navy LW as they had to hold on for the 4 pt win (363-342 yd edge). OSU is 12-5 ATS in non-conf BCS gms and 9-3 SU/ATS vs the P10 but will be in unfamiliar territory as a HD here (1-2 ATS over L10Y incl loss to PSU LY). USC is 11-1 SU/ATS in their 1st RG and 8-0 ATS as a single digit fav over the L3Y, but does have true frosh QB Barkley making his first road start (233 yds, 79% LW). The Trojan D was suffocating as they recorded 16 tfl and held the Spartans to just 8 FD’s and 121 ttl yds. While both teams have just 12 ret sts and some major draft losses, the well wasn’t left dry for either program as they appear loaded again with this meeting playing a major role in the early BCS picture.



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Matchup: Utah at San Jose St
Time: 10:30 PM EDT (Sat)

Play: San Jose St (+14 -110)
Line Source: ATLANTIS
Posted on: September 10, 2009 @ 2:29:17 PM EDT

SAN JOSE ST (+13) over Utah - Utah leads the series 4-1 SU (1-0 ATS) with the last meeting a 49-17 Utes win (-7) in ‘98. Utah currently owns the nation’s longest win streak (15) and finished last year #2 in the polls. The Utes are 5-0 SU/ATS on the road vs non-BCS/non-conf tms but all were vs Utah St. Utah is 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS on the road and is on a current 6-0 SU (4-2 ATS) run in AG’s. The Utes spent all but Wk 1 in the polls LY and entered TY ranked in a preseason poll for just the second time ever and the first S/’04. Utah opened the season last Thurs with a 35-17 win over Utah St, as they broke in a new starting QB. Utah has an edge on off (#67-95), def (#39-73) and ST (#57-99). SJSt was held to just 121 ttl yds (8 FD’s) in their opening 56-3 loss at USC. SJSt is 1-13 SU but 8-6 ATS against ranked tms S/’00. In the L/4 gms vs ranked tms at home the Spartans are 0-4 SU but 3-1 ATS having lost two contests in OT and one on a last-second FG. SJSt is 7-0 SU (2-0 ATS) in home openers S/’03 but 5 gms were vs FCS opponents. Utah’s QB Cain now makes his first road start and you have to believe that HC Tomey looked past a “sure loss” to USC to focus on a winnable home opener against a ranked foe.

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Matchup: Oregon St at UNLV
Time: 11:00 PM EDT (Sat)

Play: UNLV (+7.5 -110)
Line Source: STATIONS
Posted on: September 10, 2009 @ 2:29:17 PM EDT

UNLV (+) over Oregon St - This is the perfect time of year for UNLV to play OSU. HC Riley has done a tremendous job with the Beavers but opp coaches have noted that they are slow starters as Riley has gone 0-9 SU and 1-8 ATS on the road in the first 4 weeks of the ssn with their avg ATS loss by 15.8 ppg! They have just 10 starters back and this is their 1st road trip and true test. The Rodgers brothers combined for 4 TD’s in their win vs Port St LW, however, it was somewhat alarming for the def as they allowed 349 yds to Vikings. QB Canfield (158 yds, 73% in just 1H) will line up behind center again TW and could be playing for his starting spot with LY’s #1 QB Moevao close to returning from spg shldr surgery. The Rebels won their 4th consec home opener LW vs Sac St 38-3 as they outgained the Hornets 466-228. HC Sanford is just 12-36 SU but is 8-2 ATS as an HD and LY beat #15 Ariz St on the road! UNLV has 14 ret sts incl vet QB Clayton (213 yds, 76% LW) and an excellent set of WR’s which could continue the early Beaver slide here as the Rebels look to knock off a BCS team at home for the 2nd consec ssn (34-31 OT win vs Iowa St LY).

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Member Plays
Matchup: Iowa at Iowa State
Time: 12:00 PM EDT (Sat)

Play: Iowa (-6.5 -110)
Line Source: ATLANTIS
Posted on: September 10, 2009 @ 2:29:17 PM EDT

Iowa over IOWA ST - The home team has won 5 in a row but ISU is 7-4 SU (dog in 9) and are 10-1 ATS. LY Iowa got an 81 yd PR TD with 6:19 left to lead 17-3 (-13’) but took an intentional safety with :28 left to give the Cyclones the cover. ISU beat FCS ND St 34-17 on Thursday night in HC Rhoads’ debut to end a 10 gm losing streak. ISU rec’d a fmbl in the EZ in the 1Q and led just 24-17 in the 3Q before pulling away despite being outrushed by the Bison 210-204. Iowa blocked 2 gm winning FG att’s to survive the FCS’s #4 team, N Iowa 17-16 as they were outgained 354-329 and trailed most of the game. QB Stanzi threw for 242 yds and the RB tandem of O’Meara and Robinson had just 79 yds. Iowa has a huge D edge (#14-96) and starts a new ISU losing streak.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-12-09

Marc Lawrence's Playbook 9/10--9/14
NCAA Best Bets...

5* Air Force (+) over Minnesota by 11
4* UAB over SMU by 21
3* Auburn over Miss. St. by 24
Upset GOW (lost last week) Central Mich. over Mich St by 1

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-12-09

Power Sweep
4* UNLV 27-24
3*South Miss. 37-16
3*Missouri 45-17
2*Tulsa 42-20
2*Iowa 34-20
2* Lousiana Tech (+) 23-26
Underdog Play San Jose +13 Outright 24-23

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-12-09

CKO

11 *IOWA STATE over Iowa
Late Score Forecast:
*IOWA STATE 23 - Iowa 16

10 VANDERBILT over *Lsu
Late Score Forecast:
VANDERBILT 20 - *Lsu 23

10 CENTRAL MICHIGAN over
*Michigan St.
Late Score Forecast:
CENT. MICHIGAN 24 - *Michigan St. 28

10 *PENN STATE over Syracuse
Late Score Forecast:
*PENN STATE 45 - Syracuse 3

NINE-RATED GAMES: TENNESSEE (-7½) vs. Ucla—Only UCLA’s respected pointspread record as a dog (22-7 L5Ys) is keeping this
payback game from being rated higher...SOUTHERN MISS (-16) vs. Ucf—Golden Eagles on roll offensively & defensively since
beginning of last November; UCF doesn’t have the firepower to keep up...NEBRASKA (-23½) vs. Arkansas State—Husker starters
played little more than a half in dominating 49-3 victory last week over Florida Atlantic; Ark. State 1-6 vs. the line on the road

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-12-09

RIGHT ANGLE SPORTS
WEEK 2

#326 WF -3... 1 Unit

390 MTSU -1 .. 1 Unit

392 UL Laff UNDER 58'... 2 Units

380 Neb UNDER 55 .. 1 Unit

346 Buff UNDER 48' .. 1 Unit

350 BC UNDER 46' .. 1 Unit

347 VA OVER 40' ... 1 Unit

355 Wash. St. OVER 51' .. 1 Unit

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-12-09

Teddy Covers

CFB East Carolina +6.5 (307)
CFB 20* Big Ticket: Auburn -14 (320)
CFB Louisiana Tech +7.5 (337)
CFB Air Force +3 (353)
CFB Southern Miss -14.5 (364)
CFB North Texas +2.5 (388)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-12-09

Pointwise Phone Service

4* Auburn, Air Force

3* East Carolina, North Texas, South Carolina,vandy,
Central Michigan, Southern Miss

2* Stanford, Unlv, South Florida

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-12-09

Colin Cowherd

Sizzlin 7 - Week 2

1) Top Play : Tenn Vols -9'
2) NFL Dog of Week : Miami Dolphins +4'
3) Dallas Cowboys -6
4) NY Jets +4'
5) GB Packers -3'
6) Notrh Carolina -4
7) USC Trojans -6'/7

Week 1 : 2 - 5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-12-09

Dave Busk

5 Unit Pick #356 Take Washington State (+2) over Hawaii (Sept. 12, 7:00)

Hawaii head coach Greg McMakin did a nice job stepping into that role and winning seven games and taking Hawaii to a bowl game after June Jones bolted the program. Hawaii returns just two starters on the defensive side of the ball this year and has a lot of young guy’s hitting the mainland for the first time visit Washington State. As bad as Washington State was last year and they were bad I don’t think they should be a dog in this situation. Washington State lost last week vs. Stanford in week one in a neutral field game vs. Stanford 39-13, but this team will improve this year. Second year head coach Paul Wolff put this program through a rigid off season workout program and they have installed a no huddle offense, they have a combined 14 starters back from a team that lost at Hawaii last year in the last game of the year at Hawaii 24-10. I like the Pac ten team here and I think they should be the favorite. Great Value

4 Unit Pick #365 Take Houston (+15) over Oklahoma State (Sept.12, 3:30)

These two teams scored a combined 93 points as Oklahoma State registered a 56-37 comeback win vs. Houston ironically in week two of the 2008 season. Big difference this year, Oklahoma State is coming of a big win vs. Sec power Georgia and I think they could be a little full of themselves here. That was a physical game last week and I’ am sure it took a toll on the Cowboys. They now have to deal with standout Houston quarterback Case Keenum who rip apart Okie State and has thrown over 300 yards in 14 of his last 15 starts. I think it will be awful hard for the favorite to cover this how number in what should be another shootout.

2 Unit Pick Take Over (45.5) Iowa at Iowa State (Sept. 12, 12:00)

The last two games of this rivalry have been low scoring with a 17 -5 Iowa in 2008 and 15-13 Iowa State win in 2007. I think this year will play out much different with Iowa State improving their power on that side of the ball with Florida Transfer Bo Williams and returning quarterback Austen Arnaud with the addition of new offensive coordinator Tom Hearn who set records with the Rice offense the last two years and installing the spread offense. Iowa offensive improved by fifty yards a game in 2008 from 2007 and have quarterback Ricky Stanza back along with three offensive lineman from 2008. Last year total closed at 48 in that low scoring game and now the odds maker has made adjustment but I believe it is the wrong adjustment, I made this total 51 by my numbers and I’ am playing that value.

1 Unit Pick Take Over (38) South Carolina at Georgia (Sept. 12,

First Georgia quarterback Joe Cox is going to play and if he didn’t I would still be on the over here. This total is all about precipitation after South Carolina 7-3 win at North Carolina State and Georgia holding a powerful Oklahoma State offense to 24 points. This is just two low for two offensive minded coaches and while this is not a big play on the weekend it is still a play.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-12-09

Allen Eastman

3-Unit Play. Take #305 North Carolina (-4.5) over Connecticut (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 12)
Connecticut was just a small road favorite at Ohio last week and now they are a home underdog against North Carolina this week. The oddsmakers obviously don’t think much of this Connecticut team and I think that their beliefs are justified. They do have a strong running game but this strong North Carolina front is going to be much better than Ohio’s. North Carolina won at Rutgers last year by 32 points and beat Connecticut by 26 points at home. UNC has 15 starters and a majority of lettermen back from that team while Connecticut has just 12 starters back and is battling some injury issues. I like laying the small line on the more talented team.

2-Unit Play. Take #319 Mississippi State (+14) over Auburn (7 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 12)
Last year defense dominated this game and the final score was 3-2. That’s not a misprint! Defense should again control this game and as a result I think that the points will hold up. I’m not a big believer in Gene Chizik at Auburn and I haven’t seen enough to justify them being this large of a favorite in a conference game. The Bulldogs won 19-14 in their last trip to Auburn in 2007 and that means they have lost the last two meetings by just a total of five points.

3-Unit Play. Take #339 Notre Dame (-3.5) over Michigan (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 12)
Notre Dame and Michigan are both coming off routs last week but I was much more impressed with the Irish. Notre Dame has a significant experience advantage in this game. And they proved last year with their 35-17 win that the talent is clearly there. These games are very hyped up but recently they have been blowouts. The last three have been decided by an average of 27 points per game so I don’t have a problem laying just over a field goal. Experience wins out here.

4-Unit Play. Take #347 TCU (-11) over Virginia (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 12)
Virginia is coming off a loss to a Div. I-AA school last week and they were sloppy while doing it. The Cavaliers are one of the worst teams in the sorry ACC and they just don’t have the talent to compete against top teams. TCU did not play last week so they are chomping at the bit to get after the Cavs this weekend. TCU is a solid 13-6 SU against teams from BCS conferences over the last six years. They play their best against the top competition and I expect more of the same this weekend.

2-Unit Play. Take #387 Ohio (-2.5) over North Texas (7 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 12)
North Texas went into Ball State and stole a win last week. But Ohio is a better team than Ball State this year and they are coming off a tough loss at home to Connecticut. North Texas is just 17-30 ATS over the last four years and they are just 6-8 ATS as a home dog. They have lost 21 of 25 games since the start of 2007 so I don’t think I’ve seen enough to think that last week wasn’t just a fluke.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-12-09

Strike Point Sports

6-Unit Game of the Month. #305 Take North Carolina -4.5 over Connecticut (9/12 Saturday, 12 p.m. EST)

4-Unit Play. #323 Take Fresno State +8.5 over Wisconsin (9/12 Saturday, 12 p.m. EST)

3-Unit Play. #319 Take Mississippi State +14 over Auburn (9/12 Saturday, 7 p.m. EST)

4-Unit Play. #388 Take North Texas +3 over Ohio (9/12 Saturday, 7 p.m. EST)

3-Unit Play. #356 Take Washington State +2 over Hawaii (9/12 Saturday, 7 p.m. EST)

4-Unit Play. #354 Take Minnesota -3.5 over Air Force (9/12 Saturday, 7 p.m. EST)

4-Unit Play. #333 Take Purdue +12 over Oregon (9/12 Saturday, 10:15 p.m. EST)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-12-09

Randizzle

2* USC -6.5
1.5* UNC -4
1* UCLA +10
2* Oklahoma St. -15

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-12-09

igz1 sports

Saturday 9/12/09 CFB Card

CFB
4* Over 60 (-110) Troy State vs Florida
4* North Carolina -4 (-110)
3* BYU -18 (-110)
3* Washington -20.5 (-110)
3* Oklahoma State -15 (-110)
3* Alabama -33.5 (-110)
3* Southern Miss -14 (-110)