Chico1856
01-17-2009, 05:30 PM
NFC Championship
This game is for the birds, just gotta figure out if its the high flying Cardinals or the claw your face off Eagles. I am taking the Eagles with a defense that is allowing just 11 points a game over the last six weeks, and 19-6 ATS vs. excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards a game. Arizona has been thriving on the interception this postseason, and face a quarterback who does not throw the ball away often, McNabb for his career ranks amoung the best ever in Interception rate. The Eagles Defnese should be able to keep Warner guessing and force him into INT's and create fumbles with their in your face pressure blitzing, and their offense should be able to do put up enough points to secure a trip to Tampa. I can't buck an 18-1 trend over the last 2 years in the playoffs (Team w/ the better Defensive Hog Index) that has this much of a discrepency, Philly ranks 2nd in DHI, Arizona 17th.
Additionally, Philadelpia also applies to:
Including Green Bay’s loss a year ago, championship game home teams that are not #1 seeds are just 3-5 SU & 2-5-1 ATS since ’93.
Non-divisional winners, or true “wildcard teams” boast an impressive 6-3 SU & 6-2-1 ATS record in their L10 times reaching the conference championships. In this decade, they are 4-1 SU & ATS
Road teams that yield 4.90 yards per play or fewer on defense are 17-5 ATS (77.2%)
Record in ’09: 4-0 ATS
Gimme the Eagles -3.5
This game is for the birds, just gotta figure out if its the high flying Cardinals or the claw your face off Eagles. I am taking the Eagles with a defense that is allowing just 11 points a game over the last six weeks, and 19-6 ATS vs. excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards a game. Arizona has been thriving on the interception this postseason, and face a quarterback who does not throw the ball away often, McNabb for his career ranks amoung the best ever in Interception rate. The Eagles Defnese should be able to keep Warner guessing and force him into INT's and create fumbles with their in your face pressure blitzing, and their offense should be able to do put up enough points to secure a trip to Tampa. I can't buck an 18-1 trend over the last 2 years in the playoffs (Team w/ the better Defensive Hog Index) that has this much of a discrepency, Philly ranks 2nd in DHI, Arizona 17th.
Additionally, Philadelpia also applies to:
Including Green Bay’s loss a year ago, championship game home teams that are not #1 seeds are just 3-5 SU & 2-5-1 ATS since ’93.
Non-divisional winners, or true “wildcard teams” boast an impressive 6-3 SU & 6-2-1 ATS record in their L10 times reaching the conference championships. In this decade, they are 4-1 SU & ATS
Road teams that yield 4.90 yards per play or fewer on defense are 17-5 ATS (77.2%)
Record in ’09: 4-0 ATS
Gimme the Eagles -3.5