1/8/09

Handicapper: John Ryan
Florida vs. Oklahoma (NCAAF) - 8:15 PM EST Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: -4/-106 Florida Play Title: Florida
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Ai Simulator 15* graded play on the Florida Gators to win the National Championship Game

Wild Bill


Oklahoma +3 1/2 (5 units)

Injuries are scaring me for the Sooners, however, you can't deny a club for a shot at the National title that scored over 50 points in 6 straight games and is capable of throwing the ball vs the Gator defense. Alabama did not show the offense that the Sooners will show Florida and it's time for the Sooner special teams and defense to pull out some heroics....Bradford & Gresham should hook up a few times in this one...Oklahoma 45 Florida 40...

Over 71 1/2 Fla-Oklahoma (5 units)

Gina

Thursday, January 8
BCS Title: No. 1 Florida vs. No. 2 Oklahoma

Florida -3

JOHNNY GUILD

Thursday, Jan. 6
BCS Title: No. 1 Florida vs. No. 2 Oklahoma

FLORIDA

Doug Williams

Florida Gators (-4.5) OVER Oklahoma Sooners (+4.5) – This is a no-brainer. I love SEC defenses over Big 12 quarterbacks. Take a fired-up Tim Tebow and Florida's stifling D to win, beat the spread, and make you some bank. Florida is 10-2 ATS this season and 5-0 in their last 5 games. With the 3rd ranked offense and 4th ranked defense in the country, the Gators are an impressive unit that will steamroll the Sooners.

FOOTBALL USA

Mon. Jan. 8th
FedEx BCS CHAMPIONSHIP GAME:
Florida Gators (12-1) vs. Oklahoma Sooners (12-1),

FLORIDA

Sports Network

This Florida team has enough veterans on the squad that know what it is like to play in this type of atmosphere with everything on the line. Expect both teams to come out fired up, with several momentum swings early on. However, when things settle down. the old saying that "speed kills" will ring true, and overall team speed, including the all-important special teams, resides with the Gators.

Sports Network Predicted Outcome: Florida 36, Oklahoma 31

Bruce Feldman
espn

Florida 38, Oklahoma 31: I think Florida's back seven will be as good as OU has seen all season and should be good enough to hold OU below 35 points for the first time this season. I expect Tim Tebow and the UF speed to hit on a few big plays and also to capitalize on a few mistakes from the Sooners' shaky kickoff coverage unit (105th in the nation).

Phil Steele

Florida Gators

Colin Cowherd

2-2 this bowl season

Florida Gators -3.5

NATION-WIDE SPORTS PUBLICATIONS (Gold Sheet)


BCS TITLE GAME
OKLAHOMA (12-1) vs. FLORIDA (12-1)
Thursday, January 8 Night at Miami, FL (Grass Field)
*Florida 37 - Oklahoma 27—While the fatally-flawed BCS continues to court
controversy, it would be hard to argue that the convoluted system didn’t
produce a title game matchup this year that just about every college football fan
outside of Austin, Texas (and Salt Lake City?) can’t wait to see. And even a lot
of Longhorn & Ute fans are probably secretly looking forward to this clash of
one-loss juggernauts, a pair of torrid teams that have combined to cover 21 of
their 24 lined games this season. Oklahoma followed its setback to Red River
rival UT in early October with a stupefying display of offensive puissance down
the stretch, cracking the 60-point barrier in each of its last five games! And
2006 national champ Florida has been similarly dominant since its surprising
late-September home loss to Ole Miss, dragooning its next nine foes by an eyepopping
aggregate score of 445-117!
Would it be a shock if the underdog Sooners are able to ride their seeminglyunstoppable
offense (562 ypg) to a small upset? Hardly. Rarely have we seen
a college field general with more impressive control over an attack than OU’s
Heisman-winning QB Sam Bradford (48 TDP vs. only 6 ints.), who has the
receiving weapons & pass protection to torch the stoutest of stop units. Would
it be a big surprise if this game turns into an offensive shootout, with Bradford
and indomitable Gator QB Tim Tebow, the 2007 Heisman winner, trading points
in a last-team-with-the-ball-wins sort of scenario? Definitely not.
However, we believe that this game is likely to take a slightly different track.
It’s clear that the superior defense belongs to Florida, which has allowed more
than 21 points just once all season. Taking nothing away from the recordsetting
accomplishments of the Sooner offense, but OU is yet to run up against
any stop unit that has the overall talent and speed possessed by the Gators’
pugnacious platoon. Sure, even UF figures to have a tough time preventing the
balanced Sooner attack from moving the chains in the spacious middle of the
field. But converting yards into points might not come so easy for OU against
a Gator defense that has the quickness & depth up front to get some pressure
on Bradford and enough athleticism in the back 7 to blanket the Sooner
receivers in the tighter confines of the red zone. No, it’s actually Florida’s
offense—thanks to the relentless Tebow’s FB-like running near the goal line
and speedy WR/RB Percy Harvin’s nose for the end zone (he’s scored at least
one TD in each of his last 14 games and will be ready for action after sitting out
the SEC title game with a sprained ankle)—that will likely be most efficient at
cashing in drives for scores, giving the favored Gators a good shot at covering
the oddsmaker’s fair (although not insubstantial) impost.
(DNP...SR: FIRST MEETING)

Scott Ferrall

FLORIDA -3 to Oklahoma (NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP GAME)

THURSDAY, JANUARY 8
Time Posted: 8:00 p.m. EST (12/16)
Game 267-268: Florida vs. Oklahoma
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 119.963; Oklahoma 122.950
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 3; 77
Vegas Line: Florida by 3; 72
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (+3); Over

Big"reno"rick 100*star Lock Florida Gators-4-

Street Rosenthal (Premium)

Fla -5

Under 70

Nelly’s Green Sheet = 30 -34 ( 19-13 SIDES AND 11-21 TOTALS )


BCS CHAMPIONSHIP GAME 7:15 PM
Dolphin Stadium – Miami, Florida FOX
Florida (-3) Oklahoma (72)
A look at the total offensive numbers would lead you to backing
Oklahoma but the these teams play at a significantly different pace
and Oklahoma has the most impressive yardage numbers
because they ran more plays than just about every other team.
While Florida posted 442 yards per game and averaged 45 points
per game, Oklahoma delivered averages of 562 yards per game
and 54 points per game. On the other side of the ball Oklahoma’s
defensive numbers make the Sooners look mediocre to lousy but
far more plays were run against the OU defense. Florida’s defense
was downright dominant, allowing fewer than 13 points per game
with great numbers against the pass. The common denominator
that led both of these teams to the national championship game
was great turnover margins as Oklahoma was #1 in the nation and
Florida #2 in the nation in overall turnover margin on the year. In
the last eight games Oklahoma has allowed at least 21 points in
every game, even against some of the worst teams in the Big 12.
Both teams had incredible ATS numbers on the year and a strong
case could be made for either coach, as both Urban Meyer and
Bob Stoops have won national titles and played in plenty of big
games. Oklahoma has failed in several big games in recent years
however and although the SEC was down overall this year the
recent success of SEC teams in the title game is hard to argue
with. Florida has an incredible record as favorites, going 13-2-1
dating back to late last season and the Gators should kickoff as
slight chalk in this match-up. Oklahoma has fared well in the
underdog role however although that is not a common situation in
recent years. Oklahoma has had the more impressive wins this
season as teams like Tennessee, LSU, Georgia, and South
Carolina did not finish up as strong as many expected but the
Gators delivered in a strong non-conference schedule, pounding
three bowl teams including two from the highly rated ACC. The Big
12 had a lot of headlines this season but many were suckered in to
the big name QBs and the gaudy offensive numbers . The overall
quality of the conference was not likely as strong as many thought
and the Sooners had a very favorable set-up in most of its
toughest games, including the lone loss versus Texas. The college
football season rarely ends in conclusive finality and an Oklahoma
loss will create speculation that they may not have deserved to be
in this game, which would be a fitting end. FLORIDA 34-28

RATING 2: FLORIDA (-3)
RATING 3: ‘UNDER 72’

THE SPORTS MEMO = 17-16




BCS NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP
Oklahoma vs. Florida -3 O/U 72
Thursday, January 8, 8 pm ET FOX - Miami
Recommendation: Over


It’s a long wait for these teams and for college football fans until this game is played – 27 days from the time of this writing. However, the delay is not likely to stop the anticipated offensive fireworks from happening. The offenses for both teams will be by far the best units on the field in this title game. For Florida’s defense, the Oklahoma offense
is light years above anything they’ve seen thus far. Georgia’s attack was talented and diverse at the skill positions but the depth of game breaking personnel and the play of their makeshift offensive line is nowhere near what Oklahoma possesses.
In their game against the Bulldogs,
the Gators defense yielded 398 total yards. We project OU’s run/pass balance and dominant offensive line to assist in moving the football at a consistent
rate against the speed-oriented Florida defense. Oklahoma’s offensive front allowed only 11 sacks in 476 pass attempts while paving the way to 4.8 yards per carry with a stable of running backs. On the flip side, Florida’s defense is arguably the best unit that Oklahoma will have faced. Statistically, TCU is better and the Sooners chewed them up for 35 points and 436 total yards, but Florida has more speed and better talent. What the Gators don’t have is a top-tier defensive line. Florida’s pass rush could only muster one sack against the supremely physical Alabama front, and figures to be a non-factor against OU’s equally talented unit. Without a strong rush, Oklahoma, quarterback Sam Bradford figures to have success against the Gator’s young secondary. Manny Johnson, Juaquin Iglesias Ryan Broyles and Jermaine Grisham should all combine
for plenty of yardage and scoring. Every fundamental advantage for the Oklahoma offense exists for the Florida offense as well. The Gators team speed with wide receivers Percy Harvin, Louis Murphy and Riley Cooper will most surely overwhelm Oklahoma’s defense. Oklahoma’s defense has faced a multitude
of explosive spread-style offenses in Big XII play and all of them accumulated
significant yardage and points. Even more dynamic, quarterback Tim Tebow adds a dimension that the slew of gunslingers
from the Big XII doesn’t often utilize. Tebow will force Oklahoma
to respect the option running attack in addition to the short, intermediate and vertical passing games. The Gators have the whole package and there is no way for Oklahoma to simulate the speed and accuracy with which Florida runs its multi-pronged offense. We’ll will also factor in to the offensive projections the dynamic return games led by Florida speedster Brandon James and Oklahoma’s Ryan Broyles
and DeMarco Murray. Good field position and short drives set up by the return games should help our cause. While this may seem like the ultimate public-square play considering the amazing 11-1 trend to the “Over” in Sooners’ games, it is hard to ignore the fundamental
matchups. If we had to take a side, the Gators would get the nod but the value in our opinion, lies in the “Over” as all factors indicate
that we’ll get touchdown scores on virtually every possession.

NORTHCOAST POWER SWEEP = 21-10

BCS CHAMPIONSHIP

First meeting between these 2 football powers. OU will be playing for its 8th National Title while UF will try
for #3. Both HC’s have a title under their belts with Meyer winning it 2Y ago (41-14, +7’ vs OSU) & Stoops (co-
B12 COY) in ‘00 (13-2, +10 vs FSU). Meyer is 4-1 SU/ATS (2-1 w/UF) in bowls and the Gators will be playing
in the postseason for an 18th consec yr (36th overall) but are 3-6 SU/ATS L9Y. Stoops is 4-5 SU & 3-6 ATS
(3-1 SU/ATS as a bowl dog) guiding OU to its 10th str bowl (42nd overall) as the Sooners are just 1-4 SU/ATS
the L/5Y incl B2B bowl losses as 7+ favs in each. OU has been to this venue twice under Stoops: winning it
all in ‘00 and leaving with bad memories in the ‘04 Title gm losing 55-19 (+1) vs USC (outgained by 153 yds).
Both have dominated bowl tms TY as UF was 9-1 SU/ATS outscoring foes by 31 ppg & outgaining them by
159 ypg while OU went 7-1 SU & 6-2 ATS (+24 ppg & +157 ypg). The Sooners have 8 Sr starters but just 13
upperclassman (59%). UF comes in even younger with just 4 Sr starters & 10 upperclassman (45%). Overall
there will be a combined 5 Fr starting here. Despite a strong contingent of OU fans, UF should have the crowd
edge in their home state as the 5 hr/326 mile trip is nothing compared to OU’s 23 hr/1,451 mile journey.
Way back in May we picked UF to win the Nat’l Title and while there may have been a little doubt early in the
season, HC Meyer had a plan. Instead of throwing SEC Off POY Tebow out there to get banged up, he saved
him for the crucial SEC gms and as a result, Tebow’s stats fell from 253 pass ypg, 895 rush LY to 194 ypg pass,
564 rush TY. After the Ole Miss loss, Tebow took control of the tm and promised that he would play as hard as
he could & not lose another gm and he led them to the BCS Title gm. He actually had more 1st place votes in
the Heisman balloting than Bradford despite finishing 3rd overall in his quest to become the 2nd two-time winner.
UF finished #1 in the SEC in rush off (230 ypg, 6.0) as true Fr Demps (made Olympic trials in 100M), rFr
Rainey (beat Demps in 40) and 1st Tm AA WR Harvin helped save Tebow from the pounding. Harvin missed the
SEC Champ gm (ankle) but is exp to be healthy here. The UF OL avg 6’6” 315 and only all’d 16 sks (5.4%). OC
Mullen has taken the Miss St HC job but is exp to remain with the tm for this gm. UF ranks #2 in off and #6 in D.
The D made massive strides TY especially the secondary which went from #72 with 3 Fr starters LY to #5 with
3 Soph’s & 1 Fr starting TY. The DL avg 6’3” 280 and did suffer some attrition with 3 bkups lost in the 2H of the
yr but only all’d 105 rush ypg (3.3), 4th in the SEC. MLB Spikes flies to the ball earning 1st Tm AA honors TY.
UF ranks #11 in our sp tms with AA/SEC Sp Tms POY RS James who is a threat to return anything he catches
and has a great chance to add a KR TD to his resume in this one with OU’s poor kick coverage. P Henry had
the #1 net in the SEC while K Phillips was solid despite no atts from long distance (42 yd was only miss).
OU has won 3 str B12 Titles (6 overall) & is the only IA tm with 5 wins vs ranked foes. OU has been a scoring
machine TY as they have our #1 rated off (54 ppg & 562 ypg) & have dropped an NCAA rec’d 60+ on 5 str opp’s
(35+ in every gm). Their 702 pts scored is 3rd all-time (765 by Harvard in 1886). OU has eclipsed 500+ yds in
10 gms (77%) & 600+ in 4 (31%). OU is the 1st program in IA history with two 1,000+ yd rushers & a 4,000+ yd
passer in the same ssn. Heisman Winner QB Bradford (B12 Off POY) is the leader of this offensive juggernaut
& he led the NCAA in pass eff. He has thrown for 300+ yds 11x’s (85%) & has at least 2 TD passes in every gm
(4+ in 8 gms). All-B12 RB’s Murray & Brown make up the nation’s best tandem (Murray did hurt his knee on the
opening KO in the B12 Title gm, CS). WR Iglesias & TE Gresham (Mackey Finalist) provide excellent rec options.
The OL avg 6’5” 311 (4 Sr starters) paving the way for 206 ypg (4.8). They are an NFL type unit with all 5 earning
All-B12 accolades (C Cooper was the B12 OLOY) all’g just 11 sks (2.3%). The def is ranked #13. The DL avg 6’4”
273 (no Sr) all’g 106 ypg (3.2) & accounts for 80% (33.5) of the tms sks. DL McCoy usually demands a double
tm to stop him. The LB unit was hit hard by inj as Box’s status for the bowl is ? & losing Reynolds in the RRR
was huge, but the depth is solid w/Lewis (B12 Def FrOY) & Clayton. DB Harris plays LB in some formations as
well. The pass eff def is ranked #11 as OU has all’d 253 ypg (55%) with a 20-17 ratio. OU comes in at just #105
on ST & has all’d 4 KR TD’s, but keep in mind they have kicked-off 20 more times than any other tm.
Two very deserving teams matchup and while each is known for their potent offense, Florida has the defensive
edge. The Sooners set an NCAA record finishing the season with 5 straight 60+ pt performances but since
LB Reynolds went out in the Texas gm, they’ve all’d an avg of 31 ppg. Since Florida’s loss and Tebow’s vow to
carry this team they have won 9 gms (8-0 ATS) by an avg of 49-13 and that includes not having Harvin in the
Championship gm. Florida also has one of the largest special teams edges in the postseason and it would be
no surprise if they finish with one or multiple ST TD’s. Florida wins their second National Title in three years.
FORECAST: FLORIDA BY 10
RATING: 4* FLORIDA

Brand X Sports, Mike Volpe Bowl Package = 16-24




BCS Championship Game Thursday January 8
Florida Gators versus Oklahoma Sooners
Line Florida -3 Total 72

I know the Sooners are #1 but I really believe USC or Alabama could easily beat the Sooners on a neutral field. Oklahoma is a scoring machine but they have not played a defense even close to the Gators level.

Florida is grooving on being ranked #2 and is playing at home in Joe Robbie Stadium.

Tim Tebow may have lost out to Sam Bradford for the Heisman but Tebow had always said that the most important trophy is the National Champion Trophy.

Superman will get to raise that trophy over his head Thursday night.

5* Florida Gators -3

NORTHCOAST POWER PLAYS = 11 - 4
BCS CHAMPIONSHIP

Power Plays is calling for a second Gator championship in 3 years. Florida has a slight 478-447
yard edge but you won’t fi nd a bigger discrepancy in the special team rankings than in this bowl.
1? FLORIDA 43 OKLAHOMA 39

The Edge Vegas Experts = 1-6


Florida

Bruce Feldman = 20-11

Florida 38, Oklahoma 31: I think Florida's back seven will be as good as OU has seen all season and should be good enough to hold OU below 35 points for the first time this season. I expect Tim Tebow and the UF speed to hit on a few big plays and also to capitalize on a few mistakes from the Sooners' shaky kickoff coverage unit (105th in the nation).

MARC LAWERENCE PLAYBOOK = 16-16



BCS CHAMPIONSHIP GAME
Dolphin Stadium • Miami, FL
Florida over Oklahoma by 6
How many times have we seen it before? Oklahoma lays waste to its
regular season opposition like Grant setting fi re to Atlanta on his march
to the sea, then the Sooners reach the postseason and lay a big, fat egg.
Hey, it was already bad enough for OU that this game will be played in
the fan-friendly confi nes of the Gators’ home state but then Sooner QB
Sam Bradford had to go and steal the Heisman Trophy from Florida’s Tim
Tebow. “We’re going to be ready,” promised Tebow, who was denied a
chance to join Ohio State’s Archie Griffi n as a two-time Heisman winner.
“We’ll use it as motivation just like (the loss to) Ole Miss. Why get over it?
To tell you the truth, it’s more motivating for my teammates… they’ll be
excited.” Regardless of such intangibles, you’d be hard-pressed to fi nd a
college team in America playing better football right now than either the
Gators or the Sooners (UF’s 10-1-1 ATS and OU’s 10-2 ATS marks were the
best in the land this year). Led by the prolifi c Bradford, Oklahoma scored
60 or more points in its last 5 games, an NCAA record, and became the fi rst
team ever to score over 700 points. Meanwhile, Urban Meyer is looking to
claim his second BCS championship in three years for Gator Nation, carrying
a record blemished only by a 1-point loss to Mississippi. However, even if this
one wasn’t for all the marbles, Florida’s ATS edges over OU in this matchup
are vastly superior. Ready? Meyer stands 30-3 SU and 24-4-1 ATS in his career
versus non-conference competition and SEC teams are also 9-1 SU and 8-2
ATS in their last 10 BCS Bowl appearances. By comparison, Oklahoma’s Bob
Stoops owns a lowly 7-27 ATS record when his team allows 27 or more points
(Florida averaged 45 PPG against fellow Bowlers in ’08) and BCS Bowl teams
like the Sooners that allow at least 22.4 PPG are 0-8 SU and 1-7 ATS of late.
Oklahoma is also 2-4 SU and ATS in BCS Bowl games under Stoops (0-4 SU
and ATS L4) and BCS Bowlers that scored 35 or more in their previous game
(Oklahoma) are just 11-25 SU and ATS. Last but not least, Heisman Trophy
winning teams have failed to cash in on the hoopla, going just 7-19 ATS as
Bowlers since 1980. Whew! Though Florida’s high-octane offense dominates
the headlines, the Gator ‘D’ picked off a whopping 24 interceptions and held
3 of their fi nal 4 foes to season low – or 2nd low – yards. And lest we forget,
UF WR extraordinaire Percy Harvin, who missed the SEC Championship game
against Alabama, has declared himself 100% ready for this showdown with
the Sooners. In a battle between two head coaches with Ohio roots, Florida’s
80 YPG defensive edge and a huge disparity in fan support will be too much
for the Sooners to overcome. Gators chomp their way to the crystal trophy
at Dolphin Stadium tonight

THE GOLD SHEET = 13-21

BCS TITLE GAME
OKLAHOMA (12-1) vs. FLORIDA (12-1)
Thursday, January 8 Night at Miami, FL (Grass Field)
*Florida 37 - Oklahoma 27—While the fatally-flawed BCS continues to court
controversy, it would be hard to argue that the convoluted system didn’t
produce a title game matchup this year that just about every college football fan
outside of Austin, Texas (and Salt Lake City?) can’t wait to see. And even a lot
of Longhorn & Ute fans are probably secretly looking forward to this clash of
one-loss juggernauts, a pair of torrid teams that have combined to cover 21 of
their 24 lined games this season. Oklahoma followed its setback to Red River
rival UT in early October with a stupefying display of offensive puissance down
the stretch, cracking the 60-point barrier in each of its last five games! And
2006 national champ Florida has been similarly dominant since its surprising
late-September home loss to Ole Miss, dragooning its next nine foes by an eyepopping
aggregate score of 445-117!
Would it be a shock if the underdog Sooners are able to ride their seeminglyunstoppable
offense (562 ypg) to a small upset? Hardly. Rarely have we seen
a college field general with more impressive control over an attack than OU’s
Heisman-winning QB Sam Bradford (48 TDP vs. only 6 ints.), who has the
receiving weapons & pass protection to torch the stoutest of stop units. Would
it be a big surprise if this game turns into an offensive shootout, with Bradford
and indomitable Gator QB Tim Tebow, the 2007 Heisman winner, trading points
in a last-team-with-the-ball-wins sort of scenario? Definitely not.
However, we believe that this game is likely to take a slightly different track.
It’s clear that the superior defense belongs to Florida, which has allowed more
than 21 points just once all season. Taking nothing away from the recordsetting
accomplishments of the Sooner offense, but OU is yet to run up against
any stop unit that has the overall talent and speed possessed by the Gators’
pugnacious platoon. Sure, even UF figures to have a tough time preventing the
balanced Sooner attack from moving the chains in the spacious middle of the
field. But converting yards into points might not come so easy for OU against
a Gator defense that has the quickness & depth up front to get some pressure
on Bradford and enough athleticism in the back 7 to blanket the Sooner
receivers in the tighter confines of the red zone. No, it’s actually Florida’s
offense—thanks to the relentless Tebow’s FB-like running near the goal line
and speedy WR/RB Percy Harvin’s nose for the end zone (he’s scored at least
one TD in each of his last 14 games and will be ready for action after sitting out
the SEC title game with a sprained ankle)—that will likely be most efficient at
cashing in drives for scores, giving the favored Gators a good shot at covering
the oddsmaker’s fair (although not insubstantial) impost.
(DNP...SR: FIRST MEETING)

Winning Points = 15-17


FLORIDA over OKLAHOMA by 7
Championship games should bring the proper resumes to the table, and this one
certainly does. What Oklahoma has done offensively this season has been nothing
short of remarkable – the Sooners have scored at least 35 points in every game,
have topped 50 in nine of 13, and are on a run of five straight games in which they
have scored more than 60. Meanwhile Florida is playing for the BCS trophy for
the second time in three years, and in Tim Tebow has a leader that has a chance to
make a special place for himself in the annals of college football. But while the
offensive numbers for both teams are amazing, and the Tebow vs. Sam Bradford
QB battle brings heavyweight elements, we believe that there might be a significant
difference between these two on the defensive side of the ball, and that is
where we see this game being won. Florida may have as much speed coming out
of the defensive huddle as any team west of Southern Cal, with only Mississippi
able to score more than 21 points against the Gators this season (and note that the
Rebels only had 10 first downs and 325 yards in that game, taking advantage of
three recovered fumbles to help set up easy points). No team at this level is going
to shut down Bradford and the Sooners, but Florida has the talent to make the
occasional stop, and perhaps create some turnovers (in seven of 13 games they had
at least three takeaways). It is a different story when the Gators have the ball. While
big plays make the highlight reels, it is the ability of Tebow to run this offense
without miscues that makes them so difficult to defend, and in 10 of 13 games
they had one turnover or none. There is plenty of operating room against an
Oklahoma defense that has not held a team to less than 21 points since a win at
Baylor back on the first Saturday in October, with the Sooners neither dominating
against the run or the pass. Florida can spread that defense with playmakers at
every skill position, and then the reads of Tebow, and his precision with the ball,
take care of the rest. We will call for the Gators to be much more efficient on
offense throughout the course of the game, which means control of the flow, and
grasp of the trophy. FLORIDA 38-31.

THE SPORTS REPORTER = 19-14




BCS CHAMPIONSHIP GAME
Orange Bowl – Miami, FL
OKLAHOMA over FLORIDA by 3
If there was an offensive line that had success against the Gators, it was Alabama. It was
only low Tide when they were forced to pass. If any team’s o-line can match Bama’s size,
strength, and athleticism, it’s Oklahoma’s. Good news for the Sooner Nation is that their team
can run and throw it. How else do you explain 4.8 yards per carry and an insane 10.1 yards
per pass attempt? The Gator d-line is productive, but young. They’ll need to help the other 7
defenders to do what they’ve done all year – generate turnovers. Florida is +21 on the year,
but stealing pigskin against a Heisman winning QB ain’t easy. Offensively, the Gators averaged
7.2 yards per play and are about as balanced as can be with the pass and run, churning
out 3,000 yards rushing and 2,800 yards passing on the year. Oklahoma may give up only
106 per game on the ground, but in games against Baylor, Texas, Nebraska and Oklahoma
State, they gave up an average of 183 yards rushing. And, oh yeah – Florida has a kid named
Tebow that won’t let his team lose. Urban Meyer’s offensive coordinator and play-caller Dan
Mullen will call plays even though he’s been splitting his time between this gig and his new
head gig in Starkville, MS. Mark Richt tried the same thing back in 2000, and Stoops’
Sooners upset Richt and his Florida State offense. Will history repeat itself this time around?
OKLAHOMA, 34-31.

Logical Approach = 31-29 ( 15-15 SIDES AND 15-15 TOTALS )




There is much to recommend BOTH teams in this game as their identical S/U and ATS records are a combined outstanding 24-2 and 20-4! Each has exceeded the lofty expectations set for them and both were playing their best and most dominant football as the regular season ended. Oklahoma scored at least 60 points in each of their last 5 games (and scored 58 in the game before the streak started). Florida held 12 of their 13 opponents to 21 points or less. Florida's better defensive stats may be due to the SEC having so many weak offenses this season - 6 of the 12 SEC teams ranked in the bottom 23 in total offense! Oklahoma faced many high powered offenses, thus making their defense appear weaker than it really was. 6 of the 12 Big 12 teams ranked in the top 12 nationally in total offense and another 4 teams ranked in the top 50. Both teams faced decent non-conference opposition as Florida defeated in-state rivals Miami and Florida State while Oklahoma defeated BCS Bowl bound Cincinnati and a very strong TCU. Both teams bring lengthy S/U and ATS winning streaks into this game. Both teams have rather spotty Bowl records in recent seasons although each has won a BCS Title within the past decade. Both teams have lost 4 of their last 6 Bowls. Since 2000 Oklahoma is 102-18 straight up; Florida 86-29. Both teams have Heisman Trophy winning QBs with Florida's Tim Tebow winning last season and OU's Sam Bradford this season. Both offenses rarely turn the ball over (Florida lost 11 turnovers, Oklahoma 9) while both defenses excelled at creating them (UF forced 33, OU 32). Both defenses excelled against the run (ranking # 16 and 18) and while Florida had the better pass defense statistically (#19 vs # 100) that was, as stated earlier, because they faced some incredibly weak offenses, especially passing offenses. Florida's biggest edge is in special teams which clearly could play a factor in what shapes up as a high scoring, fast paced game of big plays. Both teams have outstanding credentials and are well coached. In a game of this magnitude the underdog always has a chance to pull the upset as BOTH teams know how to win and have done so all season. Florida does have the advantage of playing in state and that is factored somewhat into their being favored. But in the end the key is that the Oklahoma defense is perceived as being weak and the Florida defense is perceived as being strong. But for the reasons mentioned above those perceptions may be erroneous or at least may have created more influence than is justified. The call is for Oklahoma to win 31-28, making

OKLAHOMA a 2 Star Selection
UNDER a 3 Star Selection .

Spylock
Oklahoma

NCAAF


Thursday, January 8

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tips and Trends
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BCS Championship: #2 Florida vs. #1 Oklahoma [FOX | 8 PM ET]

Florida (-5, O/U 69.5): The Gators enter this game off a huge win over former #1 Alabama in the SEC championship with QB Tim Tebow turning in a Heisman-worthy performance. Tebow ended up third in Heisman Trophy balloting behind Oklahoma's Sam Bradford after becoming the first sophomore ever to win the award a year ago, and Oklahoma CB Dominique Franks said he would be the fourth-best QB if he played in the Big 12. "I like it - it's fun," Tebow said. "It makes it more competitive, and I'll enjoy it. You can say whatever you want. That's fine. We still get to go play. That's what I like I do." Tebow hopes to get the last laugh by winning his second national championship in three years.

Florida is 15-3 ATS in its last 18 games vs. teams with a winning record.
The OVER is 6-1 in Florida's last 7 lined games.

Key Injuries - WR/RB Percy Harvin (ankle) is probable.
WR Louis Murphy (knee) is probable.
RB Chris Rainey (groin) is probable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 41 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)

Oklahoma: The Sooners own the nation's top offense, averaging nearly 60 points during a seven-game winning streak to end the regular season. Heisman Trophy winner Sam Bradford directed the record-breaking offense, which has scored 60 points or more in the last four games, becoming the first school to accomplish that feat since Tulsa did it five straight times back in 1919. The only real criticism for Oklahoma is that the team's defense surrendered 24.5 points per game in the high-scoring Big 12. The Sooners will also be missing leading rusher DeMarco Murray, putting even more pressure on Bradford, who will try to become just the third Heisman winner in 12 attempts to leave a game pitting #1 vs. #2 with a victory.

Oklahoma is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games overall.
The OVER is 12-1 in Oklahoma's last 13 games overall.

Key Injuries - QB Sam Bradford (thumb) is probable.
RB DeMarco Murray (knee) is OUT.
DT DeMarcus Granger (back) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 35

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLORIDA (12 - 1) vs. OKLAHOMA (12 - 1) - 1/8/2009, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
OKLAHOMA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.
FLORIDA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
FLORIDA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
FLORIDA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
FLORIDA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
FLORIDA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.
FLORIDA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


BCS Championship Game
Miami, FL
TV: FOX
Florida vs. Oklahoma, 8:15 ET

Florida:
7-0 ATS vs. teams with winning record
10-2 ATS in all games

Oklahoma:
11-1 Over this season
15-4 Over after scoring 31+ points 5 straight games

8:15 PM FLORIDA vs. OKLAHOMA
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oklahoma is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

RON RAYMOND'S FLORIDA VS. OKLAHOMA BCS CHAMPIONSHIP GOY


under 69.5

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with Duke (-14-1/2) Wednesday night.

Today it's Florida and the over.

Free Pick From ***** Sports. #10 Take Florida -125 over Carolina (Thursday 7:35 pm NHL Center Ice)

The Panthers played surprising well in their last road game of a long trip and we expect that success to carryover into Thursday when they are back in Sunrise playing a familiar foe. The Panthers still have visions of a playoff birth and this is an important game for them since the trail the Hurricanes in the standing by five points. Their offense has finally come to life and has averaged scoring five goals in their last three games and we expect another high scoring affair on Thursday with the home team coming out on top. Doc’s Sports

WinningAngle.com your one source for sports information on the web.

Your Thursday Night Football Selection is:

Play on Oklahoma (+5) over Florida*
8:15 P.M. EST Kick-Off (Top NCAA Guarantee)

Oklahoma has won 13 of the last 14 games when the total posted is greater than 63 points and they have also won 7 consecutive games coming off four or more consecutive OVER the totals. Oklahoma has scored at least 60 points in five consecutive games and they are averaging over 54 points a game on offense this season.

Play on Oklahoma plus the points on Thursday

15000 unit frank patron on Oklahoma sooners +5

[Mr. IWS]

NSA

CFB Oklahoma vs Florida 8:00 20* Oklahoma +5.5
CFB Oklahoma vs Florida 8:00 10* OVER 69.5

[Mr. IWS]

Thank you for ordering from WinningAngle.com your one source for sports information on the web.

Your Thursday Night Football Selection is:

Play on Oklahoma (+5) over Florida*
8:15 P.M. EST Kick-Off (Top NCAA Guarantee)

Oklahoma has won 13 of the last 14 games when the total posted is greater than 63 points and they have also won 7 consecutive games coming off four or more consecutive OVER the totals. Oklahoma has scored at least 60 points in five consecutive games and they are averaging over 54 points a game on offense this season.

Play on Oklahoma plus the points on Thursday

[Mr. IWS]

Dave Malinsky

4* Florida

[Mr. IWS]

Budins 25 Dime

Florida

[Mr. IWS]

GREG SHAKER


This play was released about a month ago but all still holds true despite the line movement. The writeup is very brief and to the point.

Play up to -6.5

NCAAF: Florida Gators at Oklahoma Sooners - Florida -3 -110
Game Date: 1/8/2009

Note: I was going to prepare a large writeup on this final College Football game of the year but there really is no reason to. We have learned that the Big 12 is not as good as expected. Texas struggled to beat Ohio State with a non-cover. Texas Tech was thrashed by Ole Miss. Mizzu and Oklahoma State both looked like mediocre teams as well. The fact is, the QB's of the Big 12 looked like average SEC Signal Callers. They are good, but their numbers are way overstated. One has to wonder what kind of numbers Stafford, Tebow, Wilson, and Snead would have had in that conference. The Gators are the Cream of the Crop in the SEC and that cream is a lot creamier than the Cream of the Crop in the Big 12. This team has 6 or 7 players that run a 4.3 forty. Most squads are lucky to have one that can do that. Harvin is 90% or better for this contest and that is a feather in our hat. But probably not needed. They certainly did not need him in the SEC Championship game. Sooner QB Bradford is going to get pressure all game, and he is going to throw up some wounded ducks. Both teams have been good not dealing out turnovers but Florida has accomplished their feat while playing in the defensive minded SEC. I do expect Oklahoma to make some big plays Thursday. They will score some points. They will not be able to sustain long drives. The Gators will have much success. Too much speed and too much talent. I did not go back and look at how many points the Big 12 Top Teams averaged in the regular season, and how much they have averaged in the Bowl Matchups. I do know that they have played what I consider average D's and they have not faired to well. Certainly Texas did play a good one and we saw them win a game, but manage well below their totals for the year. While I have been accused many times of being an SEC Homer Guy, I can assure you that this is not a Homer Play. You should have gotten this one SOONER than later, but it is not too late...

[Mr. IWS]

Marc Lawrence's Pick Pack

Matchup: Florida at Oklahoma
Play: Florida -3

How many times have we seen it before? Oklahoma lays waste to its regular season opposition like Grant setting fire to Atlanta on his march to the sea, then the Sooners reach the postseason and lay a big, fat egg. Hey, it was already bad enough for OU that this game will be played in the fan-friendly confines of the Gators’ home state but then Sooner QB Sam Bradford had to go and steal the Heisman Trophy from Florida ’s Tim Tebow. “We’re going to be ready,” promised Tebow, who was denied a chance to join Ohio State ’s Archie Griffin as a two-time Heisman winner. “We’ll use it as motivation just like (the loss to) Ole Miss. Why get over it? To tell you the truth, it’s more motivating for my teammates… they’ll be excited.” Regardless of such intangibles, you’d be hard-pressed to find a college team in America playing better football right now than either the Gators or the Sooners (UF’s 10-1-1 ATS and OU’s 10-2 ATS marks were the best in the land this year). Led by the prolific Bradford , Oklahoma scored 60 or more points in its last 5 games, an NCAA record, and became the first team ever to score over 700 points. Meanwhile, Urban Meyer is looking to claim his second BCS championship in three years for Gator Nation, carrying a record blemished only by a 1-point loss to Mississippi . However, even if this one wasn’t for all the marbles, Florida ’s ATS edges over OU in this matchup are vastly superior. Ready? Meyer stands 30-3 SU and 24-4-1 ATS in his career versus non-conference competition and SEC teams are also 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 BCS Bowl appearances. By comparison, Oklahoma ’s Bob Stoops owns a lowly 7-27 ATS record when his team allows 27 or more points ( Florida averaged 45 PPG against fellow Bowlers in ’08) and BCS Bowl teams like the Sooners that allow at least 22.4 PPG are 0-8 SU and 1-7 ATS of late. Oklahoma is also 2-4 SU and ATS in BCS Bowl games under Stoops (0-4 SU and ATS L4) and BCS Bowlers that scored 35 or more in their previous game ( Oklahoma ) are just 11-25 SU and ATS. Last but not least, Heisman Trophy winning teams have failed to cash in on the hoopla, going just 7-19 ATS as Bowlers since 1980, including 0-5 SU and ATS as dogs or favorites of less than 2 points versus a .700 or greater opponent. Though Florida’s high-octane offense dominates the headlines, the Gator ‘D’ picked off a whopping 24 interceptions and held 3 of their final 4 foes to season low – or 2nd low – yards. And lest we forget, UF WR extraordinaire Percy Harvin, who missed the SEC Championship game against Alabama , has declared himself 100% ready for this showdown with the Sooners. In a battle between two head coaches with Ohio roots, Florida ’s 80 YPG defensive edge and a huge disparity in fan support will be too much for the Sooners to overcome. Lay the points with the Gators.

[Mr. IWS]

Marc Lawrence

NBA Perfect Revenge Play

LA Clippers

[Mr. IWS]

Farrgo’s **8** Big Ten 75.8% **Game of the Month**
Pick # 1 Iowa (-2.0)

[Mr. IWS]

RON RAYMOND’S 5* CBB SILVER BULLET BEST BET WINNER!
Pick # 1 Washington State (-1.5)





RON RAYMOND'S 3-GAME NHL PICK PACK

Pick # 1 Carolina Hurricanes (105)


PICK #2 Nashville Predators (-110)

PICK#3 Phoenix Coyotes (-150)

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Sports Club
Thursday, January 8, 2009
$25 NCAA BCS Championship Total Winner:

Florida Gators vs. Oklahoma Sooners over 69

[Mr. IWS]

Ethan Law | CFB Side
double-dime bet268 Oklahoma 6.0 (-110) Bodog vs 267 Florida
Analysis:

FLORIDA (12-1) Florida Gators at Oklahoma Sooners OKLAHOMA (12-1)

Verdict: Florida 24, Oklahoma 28
PLAY 2* UNITS (3%) ON OKLAHOMA +6
OPINION SELECTION ON OKLAHOMA +$190

25-5 his last 30 bowl selections

[Mr. IWS]

Doc’s Sports BCS Total Action of the Season
It is the last college football game of the year and the doctor has you covered with a strong total when the Gators and Sooners do battle in South Beach. We have a great feel with how the tempo of this game will be played so sign-up now and let Doc bring you home the winner.


UNDER 72

[Mr. IWS]

Jim KRUGGER's Pick Pack
Guaranteed Plays

Matchup: Florida at Oklahoma
Time: 8:15 PM EDT (Thu)

Play: Florida (-3 -110)
Line Source: BETUS
Posted on: December 9, 2008 @ 9:20:11 AM EST

Take Florida over Oklahoma

Florida is the better team. Especially on defense. Their speed on defense cannot be surpassed in the country. Oklahoma can obviously score, 54.0 points per game, #1 in the nation. However, Florida is #3 at 45.15 ppg. The Gators also played against better defensive teams than OU with ten opponents ranked in the top 40 in total defense. OU’s average opponent’s defensive ranking was #77 with seven of their opponents ranking 86th or lower out of the 119 FBS schools.

Nine of the past ten BCS champions have had a top-10 scoring defense. The only one who was not in the top ten was LSU last year at #17. However, they did rate a #3 ranking in total defense. OU is #57 in scoring defense, 65th in total defense. Florida is ninth in total defense, fifth in scoring defense.

The argument can be made that OU with their hurry-up offense gave other teams more opportunities on the field. That is obviously true as OU’s opponents ran 922 plays, 70.9 per game, 24th in the nation. Gator foes ran an average of 63.5 plays per game, #96. A more telling stat is the yards per play each defense gave up. Florida allowed 4.40 ypp, #9 in the FBS. OU came in 46th giving up 5.06 ypp.

If that argument is made on defense, the offensive numbers should also be looked at. The Gators ranked 114th with 61.5 plays per game. OU ran more plays per game than any team, 79.7. OU averaged 7.05 yards per play, Florida 7.19.

Both teams are very solid in taking care of the football with the Sooners ranking #1 in the land in turnover margin and Florida right behind them at #2. Florida ranked #2 in the nation in pass defense efficiency with a 94.17 rating and a INT to TD ratio of 24-10. OU was #41 with a 117.14 rating and a INT/TD ratio of 17/20.

OU’s Sam Bradford led the country in passing efficiency with a 186 quarterback rating. Tebow was #5 at 176. Last year they were #1 and #2 respectively. Bradford had 6 INT’s in 448 pass attempts, a superb 1.23% INT rate. Tebow did even better with just two interceptions in 268 PA’s, a .75 rate. Tebow is like a fullback that can throw. He is a dual threat at any time. Florida should have back Percy Harvin at full strength from his ankle injury.

Florida also has the superior running attack averaging 5.96 yards per carry and ranking 11th in the country at 229.77 yards per game. OU’s rushing game is also good, 4.77 ypc for 205.54 ypg, #19.

If you want trends: Florida is 15-3 ATS against teams with a winning record. Florida is 17-5 their last 22 on grass. Florida is 11-3 their past 14 non-conference games. Oklahoma is 7-1 ATS their last eight non-conference games.

Yes, OU can score points. But watching their game against Texas is hard to forget as the Horns in the second half ran over the Sooners and controlled the football, 37 minutes time of possession to 23. If you believe defense wins championships

Take the Gators

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock Club
3 Florida -5
5 New Mexico St -5
4 Boise St. -3
3 Denver (NCAA) +2

ATS Financial Package
3 Under 69.5
4 Louisianna Tech +7.5
3 Washington -6.5

[Mr. IWS]

CHARLIE

500* Florida vs Oklahoma Over 69
30* Oklahoma +5
20* Butler -10
20* Cleveland St -13
10* Knicks @ Dallas Over 207
Dallas -8 free play

[Mr. IWS]

KELSO


2008 PERSONAL BEST FOOTBALL CLUB
Thursday, January 08, 2009
BCS Championship
20 Units
Florida (-5½) over Oklahoma
8:17 PM -- FedEx BCS National Championship Game - Dolphin Sta

Comments: One could write a book on the explosive unstoppable offenses of both teams but that has been hashed over to the point of boredom. It is simply great skill players, great speed and quickness—power on power. With that said, my figures say there are only two edges in this game and Florida has both of them. First of all, this is basically a home game for Florida and two-thirds of the capacity crowd of 75,192 will be backers of Florida—definitely a factor in a game of this important. Carrying even more weight is the fact Florida does one thing Oklahoma does not—it plays defense. The Gators were 5th in the country in points allowed (12.8 points per game) 2nd in interceptions (24) and 8th in total yards allowed (279.3) Oklahoma was nowhere defensively, giving up an average of 24.5 points and 359.1 yards per game. In the end, the home field edge and a defense that stopped some of the best teams in the country will get the win and the cover. It also is significant the big bettors of the world started pouring it in on Florida Wednesday morning.
Mostly clear. Winds blowing from the Northwest at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 70.

20 Units
Florida/Oklahoma UNDER 69½ Points
8:17 PM -- FedEx BCS National Championship Game - Dolphin Sta


Mostly clear. Winds blowing from the Northwest at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 70.

10 Units
BCS Championship Parlay

Florida (-5½) over Oklahoma
Florida/Oklahoma UNDER 69½ Points

[Mr. IWS]

Lenny Del Genio

BCS Play of the Year

Florida -3.5

[Mr. IWS]

Doc

4 Unit Play. #709 Take Minnesota +2 over Iowa (7:00 pm ESPN 2) Minnesota has already proven that they can win on the road with victories against Louisville and Colorado State and now they will add Iowa to their resume. Minnesota got back on track with a dominating victory against Ohio State on Saturday and we expect them to take down Iowa on Thursday. The Hawkeyes have trouble scoring points and will not be able to reach seventy and we expect Minnesota to win this one straight-up.



4 Unit Play. #723 Take UL-Lafayette -1 over New Orleans (8:00 pm) Two bad teams are set to do battle this evening in New Orleans in the hopes of rising up the standing in the Sun Belt Conference. Both teams have trouble scoring points and this will be an ugly game but the recent success of the Ragin’ Cajuns is hard to ignore. They have won eight of the last nine matchups with New Orleans.



4 Unit Play. #743 Take California +1 over Washington State (10:00 pm) I have jumped way off the Cougars bandwagon and feel that they will be in for a rough season during PAC-10 play. I am been really impressed with Cal this season and only expect them to get better under new Coach Mike Montgomery. This game may be close early but Washington State has been a terrible second half team this season and expect them to fade once again. Cal own a 68-45 advantage in regards to the all-time series and we expect more of the same on Thursday, as they pound the Cougars yet again.



5 Unit Play. #774 Take Montana -3 ½ over Northern Arizona (9:00 pm) This game is more about going against the Lumberjacks, as they are coming off an emotionally draining 4-OT loss to Portland State in Flagstaff last Sunday. They will not be able to recover in time to play the Grizzles in Missoula this evening. The Grizzlies hold a 53-28 advantage in the head-to-head series and I expect them to them to make some noise in the Big Sky this season. They are 6-1 at Dahlberg Arena this season and the Lumberjacks are 0-8 on the road. Montana wins this game by double digits and we collect big in the process.

[Mr. IWS]

North coast 3 star on florida minus 6
and and a single on the over

[Mr. IWS]

Balfe

College Football
Florida/Oklahoma Over 69.5
Everyone is raving about how good the Oklahoma offense is, but no other offense has been hotter than Florida's in the second half of the season. Florida has a good defense and should limit Oklahoma to under their average, but the Gators will put up a lot of points especially in the return game which they are so awesome at and Oklahoma struggles. This one area could determine the whole game. Its tough to pick a winner especially with the line moving up to almost a TD. Florida is the more balanced team, but Bradford wasn't named the best player in College Football for nothing. Look for both teams to trade blows sending this over the total. Take the Over.

[Mr. IWS]

Michael Cannon
Thursday's BCS Championship...
75 Dime –

FLORIDA

Take Florida as the small chalk tonight over Oklahoma in the BCS Championship.

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass

100* Florida

[Mr. IWS]

atslocks.com

Florida -5 vs Oklahoma: Florida -5 (10 unit play)

[Mr. IWS]

Vegas-Runner

3* Florida over 69

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy June’s College Basketball Favorite of the Week

My 10* College Basketball Favorite of the Week is the Iowa Hawkeyes minus the points over the Minnesota Golden Gophers. I talk about overrated/overvalued teams in the market place a great deal in my write-ups and tonight we get a terrific opportunity to fade, according to my numbers, one of the most overrated/overvalued teams in the country in the Gophers. The Gophers for the 2nd straight year have jumped out of the gates fast posting 13-1 SU record and have only played 2 games away from home all year long. They won at Colorado State by one point and beat Louisville by 6 on a neutral floor. The Ville have had a disastrous start to their season where they have been very up and down so I take that win with a grain of salt. Outside of those two games their other 12 games have all been at home. Additionally their non-conference schedule was a cake walk beating the likes of Concordia St. Paul, Eastern Washington, ND State, SD State, Southeastern Louisiana and the list goes on. Meanwhile on the other side Iowa has played a solid early season schedule with wins over Kansas State, Iowa State, and Northern Iowa and losses against WVU, BC, Drake and Ohio State. They have picked up their strong home court advantage early this season posting 9-0 SU record, while stumbling the last few years, this has been a team that for many years was unbeatable at home. While they are still a program in rebuilding under Lickliter and will certainly have their ups and downs this season they are in a great spot tonight. The Hawkeyes are catching a Minnesota team making their first road trip in conference and playing in their first true road environment game this season. The key for Iowa will be getting good looks and continuing their process of the Lickliter offense that is slow, methodical and effective. It has led to good early things with the Hawkeyes shooting 47.6% from the field overall and 40.9% from the 3 point line, two staples of a Lickliter team. It is noteworthy the Gophers are 2-8-1 ATS their last 11 road games after playing 3 or more straight home games and the Hawkeyes are 5-2 ATS their last 7 games overall. I currently have this line at -1.5. My 10* College Favorite of the Week is the Iowa Hawkeyes minus the points. As always, Good Luck, Let’s make some money.


Teddy June’s College Basketball Underdog Game of the Day

My 10* College Basketball Underdog Game of the Day is the Wright State Raiders plus the points over the Butler Bulldogs. Occasionally in sports a key injury can actually help a team to rally, new players step up and players emerge as that key player sits out with the injury. Thus is the case for Wright State as they started the year 0-6 SU, 0-5 ATS and then proceeded to lose one of their better players in Vaughn Duggins to a hand injury. Then they proceeded to win two straight including a decent win against a pretty good Arkansas LR team, lost by 13 to Wake Forest in Wake as 22 point underdogs and since have reeled off 6 straight wins including wins over Oral Roberts, USF, and a solid Cleveland State team. The difference maker for them has been the maturation of stud JUCO transfer and two time JUCO all American Cory Cooperwoord. He has provided a nice post presence and a scorer for them. Additionally the play of John David Gardner who has scored in double figures in 8 of his last 10 games and is averaging 4 assists per game as well. The junior guard Todd Brown has also been key for them scoring in double figures in 4 straight games. With Duggins out the Raiders have rallied, members have fit new roles and players have stepped up to turn around their season. The Raiders have to travel to a tough place to play tonight but a place they are very familiar with. Wright State and Butler have quietly built up a nice rivalry in the Horizon the last several years with 8 of their last 10 meetings being decided in single digits. In addition to that Butlers rise to national prominence has added some spice to this matchup. The Bulldogs after losing several key players are having another solid year but playing a bit over their expected expectations. They have recently gotten into the top 25 rankings but I have them being overvalued in the betting marketplace. Their early season success has inflated this number along with their reputation in the marketplace while Wright State’s early stumbles really knock them out of the Horizon picture early on. The Raiders have dominated this series ATS wise as they are 11-1 ATS their last 12 against Butler, this simply due to the fact that every time these two teams meet up Butler is the team on the public’s radar and in turn the line is inflated to recognize that. Two slow methodical teams who play solid defense, I expect a low scoring tight affair here. I currently have this line at +10.5. My 10* College Basketball Underdog Game of the Day is the Wright State Raiders plus the points. As always, Good Luck, Let’s make some money.


Teddy June’s College Football BCS Championship Selection

My 10* College Football BCS Championship Selection is the Oklahoma Sooners plus the points over the Florida Gators. The big game is finally here pitting the 12-1 SU/10-2 ATS Gators against the 12-1 SU/10-2 ATS Oklahoma Sooners. With the way the media has talked about this game and the way the betting public has continued to pound Florida you would think the Sooners aren’t even going to step out on the field tonight. The reason has been simple, the Big 12 has not looked good for the most part in the Bowl games and Florida has been a public darling with Tebow for quite a while now. That being said motivation is something that is very crucial in bowl games and in College sports and Texas Tech, Texas, Missouri, and the rest of the Big 12 did not have much motivation to show up in their bowl games. The comparison being made to Oklahoma really cannot be said because this Sooners squad is far different than the rest of the Big 12. They scored 60 or more points in 5 straight games down the stretch and finished the season averaging 54ppg. They have more athletes on the offense end than any other team in the Big 12 and are led by a 6’4 NFL prototype quarterback who had his 2nd straight phenomenal season. Additionally he sits behind the biggest and best offensive line in the country unlike Texas Tech who’s offensive line is far from the same level. Also they run a more pro style offense than any of the other Big 12 teams. While there is no question these offensive numbers are a bit inflated due to the Big 12 being offense happy they are still phenomenal numbers and Oklahoma still has a ton of talent on the offensive end. Florida has not seen an offense like this all year long and matter of fact Oklahoma’s defense has seen high powered strong offenses all season while Florida has seen much weaker offenses. Oklahoma’s defense faced the following offensive ranks this season, 24, 46, 9, 21, 34, 13, 4, 6 and 8th. Meanwhile, Florida faced 72, 89, 116, 30, 49, 56, 107, 22, 116, 97, no rank, 54 and 64th. Additionally the best offense they faced was 30th that was Ole Miss the only game they have lost this year. While everyone trashes on Oklahoma’s defense in comparison to Florida’s it is done so unfairly in my opinion as Florida faced a boat load of SEC teams that in a down year offensively were frankly not very good. Oklahoma’s defense every single week was tested by a strong offense and most of the time they were so far ahead in games they let up anyways. Florida’s offense has not been nearly as impressive as Oklahoma this season, the reason is Harvin can’t stay healthy (said to be around 90 percent tonight) and it is frankly not a hard offense to prepare for. Tebow and crew really don’t do a lot of special things on the offensive end, especially in comparison to what has been called the fast break in football in the Sooners offense. Coach Bob Stoops at one point in his career carried the nick name big game Bob that until his Sooners pulled no-shows in 4 of the last 5 bowl games they have played in. That motivation will show up on the field tonight, there is nothing like listening to the media and public hammer into the players that their program can’t show up in the big game and it will give Stoops more motivation than he’s ever had to win a game. There was a reason at one point in time he was named big game Bob and I expect we see it tonight in his preparation and game plan for this game. The line has moved off the opening of -3 for Florida and that was even shaded off the LVSC number of -1.5. The reason has been simple everyone is betting on Florida and books have continued to have to move the line. This has created some nice value for Oklahoma backers and an opportunity to go against the entire free world in a big game. Wait on this line and get 6 if you can. My 10* College Football BCS Championship Selection is the Oklahoma Sooners plus the points. As always, Good Luck, Let’s make some money.

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass

NCAAB
50* W Kentucky
20* Minnesota
20* Tenn Tech
20* Hawaii

NHL
20* Ottawa/Boston under

[Mr. IWS]

RAS

Rotation #723 UL Lafayette (-1) 1.00 UNIT
Game start: 05:00pm PST Released at: 08:14am PST



PREVIOUS RELEASES
Rotation #740 UC Davis (-4) 1.00 UNIT
Game start: 07:00pm PST Released at: 08:10am PST

Rotation #764 Chattanooga (-6.5) 1.00 UNIT
Game start: 04:00pm PST Released at: 08:06am PST

Rotation #779 Weber State (+10) 1.00 UNIT
Game start: 07:00pm PST Released at: 08:02am PST

[Mr. IWS]

The Boooj


50 unit on Florida -4.5

[Mr. IWS]

indiancowboy

CBB (POD): 4 Unit Play. #710. Take Iowa -2 over Minnesota (Thursday @ 7:05pm).

Note, that each day there is a NBA POD and a CBB POD. Thus, I do an NBA POD and a CBB POD each day usually. So, if you see an NBA play and a CBB play, it is a POD by default given that I have followed this prototype for well over a month.

This Week: 7-1: (5-0 run)

2-0 Wednesday.
Magic +2 Outright over Hawks (W)
Indiana +7.5 over Michigan (W)

3-0 Tuesday.
Hornets +8 Outright over Lakers (W)
Tulsa PK over Ball State (W)
Ohio State +9.5 over Michigan State (W)

2-1 Monday.

11 of 15 Winning Days (11-4) and 6 of 7 (6-1) Winning Days in the NBA.
January NBA POD: 5-1.
January CBB POD: 5-2.
3-0 this Week in College Basketball.
Winning 4 of 5 Weeks in Football.

How often have we seen the ranked team actually as an underdog on the road? Whenever you see a ranked team as an underdog on the road, it is usually very good reason to be wary of the play. I have followed Big 10 Basketball for a long time. After all, there are only three conferences that I follow exclusively and that is the Big 10, Big East and the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference. I read the Bluebooks on these conferences each year, watch the recruiting class for each of these schools and note any changes in offense by the respective coaches. The Big10 in College Basketball has always been about holding serve at home. Why do you think we went with Indiana yesterday as they were showing improvement going back to Bloomington. Granted, we only covered by a bucket, but they were up by 17 at one point which goes to show that in a game of half-court offenses, shot selection, the presence of the crowd as the 6th man and getting to the free throw line make all the difference - and in particular, the defensive intensity of the home team is far greater. As per this game, note that Minnesota might be ranked 19th in the nation, but this team is 1-1 in conference play and has yet to go on the road for conference play. This is a young team for Tubby in many respects still. Yes, they have 13 wins. But, did you know that they have only played 1 true road game all year. That was against Colorado State a team they defeated by 1 point on the road. That's right, 1 point. Given that Colorado State is a top 175 team, this is not highly impressive. Remember, as well that although Iowa has four losses and are 11-4 this is misleading. After all, Iowa is a team that is ranked higher in many power rankings as a top 50 team while Minnesota is no better than a top 65 team. How can a team with four losses be rated higher in power rankings? Well, they have gone on the road to play many games while Minnesota has been playing their games at home. Remember, Iowa is road tested - at least far more road tested than Minny this year. This is the same Iowa team that went to Boston College and lost by 2 points. Did Minneosta do that? No, Minnesota played Colorado State. This is the same Iowa team that went on the road to Ohio State and lost by 3 points. Did Minny do that? No, they went on the road to play Colorado State. This is the same Iowa team that also played Drake on the road and even defeated a top 20 power ranking team in Kansas State in Las Vegas on neutral footing. Minny beat this team 63-50 last year and this time around Iowa hosts this team in their respective gym. This game is on ESPN2. So, in short, yes, Minnesota has 13 wins. But, only one of these wins was a true road game and they won that game by 1 point against a top 175 team. Now, Minny has a true road game, a true road conference game, against a team that has revenge, a team ranked higher in power rankings and a team that plays them on national television as the unranked team laying points which typically favors the unranked home team winning. Let's take the home team, in conference play in Big10 which is notorious for the home teams doing well, with revenge, who is far more tested this year playing much tougher competition such as Boston College, Drake, Ohio State and Kansas State as I see Iowa likely winning this by 4-7 points as FTs will come into play. Iowa is 9-0 at home and is 22nd in the nation in FT's shooting over 74% from the line. The Hawkeyes are 5-1 ATS at home when facing a team with a 60% winning or better at home. Iowa will pull through behind their crowd and the lack of road experience for Minnesota this year.

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass Hoops
50 West Kentucky

20 Minn

20 Tenn Tech

20 hawaii

[Mr. IWS]

stan sharp double dime wash -6.5

[Mr. IWS]

Stu Feiner 5000 Dime Play is on Oklahoma. He even said to put a good portion on moneyline

[Mr. IWS]

Heisman
Florida......regular play