11-28-08

[Mr. IWS]

Ethan Law -- NCAA - Friday
CONFIRMED FRIDAY NCAA SELECTIONS (FINAL)
2% on Kent State Golden Flashes +9
2% on UTEP Miners +5
2% on Toledo Rockets +1.5
2% on Miami RedHawks +1

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-28-08

Las Vegas Sport Picks

NCAA Football:

1* Mississippi -18
2* Arizona St. -10
2* Nebraska/Colorado over 57
3* Central Michigan/Eastern Michigan over 62

NHL:

1* Bruins -1.5 +120
1* Red Wings -1.5 +115
1* Penguins/Sabres over 5.5 -125

NBA:

2* Suns -8
2* Kings/Jazz over 207
2* Warriors/Cavs over 215
3* Jazz -10

NCAA Basketball:

2* Oklahoma +1
2* UAB -2
2* Missouri St. +4
3* Villanova -18

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-28-08

Kelso's 50 unit Friday play.

Friday, November 28, 2008
Big East Game Of The Year50 UnitsPittsburgh (+3½) over West Virginia
12:00 PM -- Heinz Field
Pittsburgh by 6-7
Mostly cloudy with a 40-percent chance of snow. Winds blowing from the Southwest at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 40.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-28-08

CKO CONFIDENTIAL KICK-OFF

10 *MISSISSIPPI over Mississippi State
Late Score Forecast:
*OLE MISS 31 - Mississippi State 7

Rebels have had the edge in the Egg Bowl in recent seasons, especially in Oxford, where they are 3-0-1 vs. the
spread the last four meetings. Everyone in the SEC respects the Mississippi State defense. But the lack of QB
dynamism and the infrequency of big gainers makes it extremely difficult for the Bulldogs to keep pace with some
foes, or to play catch-up in games. Meanwhile, the arrival of Houston Nutt has been a boon to the Ole Miss attack,
with the HC turning Cordera Eason into a dependable power back and soph Jevan Snead into a big-game QB who
has led wins at Florida and LSU. Nutt’s change-of-pace “Wild Rebel” formation (previously the “Wild Hog” at
Arkansas) is now widely copied in both college and the NFL. Ole Miss’ big, deep, and experienced DL a nice
advantage vs. MSU’s strong ground game.

10 UTEP over *East Carolina
Late Score Forecast:
UTEP 31 - *East Carolina 28

C-USA scouts report UTEP, motivated by a bowl bid with victory here, is not discouraged at all despite blowing DD
lead in 42-37 loss at Houston last week. Miners, who suffered a late-season meltdown following a similarly heartbreaking loss to Rice in November year ago, won’t let that happen again. UTEP HC Mike Price says, “I’m not worried
how we play the next game. We have a lot of character, a lot of heart. There is a lot of pride on this team.” And
with banged-up East Carolina in celebratory mood after capturing its 1st-ever East title (Pirates only team with
winning mark in that weak division), believe explosive, opportunistic Miners (35 ppg, +14 TO margin) avenge bitter
OT loss to Pirates in ‘07. UTEP’s dynamic, soph QB Vittatoe (31 TDP, just 6 ints.), who has developed super rapport
with 6-3 soph WR Adams (8 TDC last 3 games!), clearly outperforming ECU counterpart Pinkney, who was
benched in sloppy (5 TOs) 17-13 squeaker at UAB. Plus, Pirates ground game offering little support (only 59 YR
vs. Blazers). Miners 11-4-1 last 16 as visiting dog, while Holtz’s squad 1-8 last 9 vs. spread

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-28-08

Marc Lawrence's Playbook

Friday, November 28th

West Virginia over PITTSBURGH by 7
MIAMI OHIO over Ohio U by 1
OLE MISS over Mississippi St by 7
Akron over Temple by 2
Utep over EAST CAROLINA by 1
C Michigan over E MICHIGAN by 14
BUFFALO over Kent St by 1

3* BEST BET
Lsu over ARKANSAS by 14

TOLEDO over Bowling Green by 3

5* BEST BET
NEBRASKA over Colorado by 28

BOISE ST over Fresno St by 13
ARIZONA ST over Ucla by 11

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-28-08

ATS Lock Black Friday FB 11/28
5 units Toledo +1.5
3 units Pitt +3.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-28-08

Kelso Club Plays 11/28
15 units C Mich -10
5 units Fresno St +21
4 units Ark +4.5
3 units UTEP +6

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-28-08

Marc Lawrence - 4* South Carolina over Clemson by 10
Marc Lawrence Upset Game of the Week - Oregon over Oregon State by 5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-28-08

Indian Cowboy
Handicapper: IndianCowboy

Sport: College Football

Game: UTEP Miners @ East Carolina Pirates - Friday November 28, 2008 1:00 pm

Pick: 3 unit(s) ATS: UTEP Miners +5 (-110) (Normal)

UTEP folks has one of the top 40 best offenses in the nation. And sometimes, a good offense does beat a good defense. Remember, UTEP los to East Carolina in overtime last year and this team undoubtedly remembers that. Plus, UTEP comes off a frustrating loss to Houston 37-42 and they were 18 points dogs in that game. In fact, this team has been playing better over the last three weeks consistently. They covered against SMU as -13.5 point favorites and beat UL on the road outright as 13.5 dogs. Look for UTEP to get some revenge from their overtime loss last year Trevor Vittatoe of UTEP is no joke having thrown for 31 touchdowns and 6 interceptions this year. Sometimes, a good offense does indeed defeat a good defense as East Carolina is ranked top 40 on defense but around top 100 with respect to their offense. I believe UTEP wins this baby outright

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-28-08

FRANK PATRON 4TH STRAIGHT 10000 UNIT WINNER

FRANK PATRON

4TH STRAIGHT 10000 UNIT WINNER

CENTRAL MICHIGAN CHIPPEWAS -10.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-28-08

Jeff Bentons

Friday's winners ...
10 Dime: LSU (minus the points vs. Arkansas)



5 Dime: COLORADO (plus the points vs. Nebaska)



LSU



I’ve been bagging on LSU all season long, a team that’s been grossly overrated from the very second the 2007 season kicked off. And my anti-LSU bias has resulted in profitable results for yours truly, as I’ve gone against the Tigers several times and come out a winner.. All that said, for the first time this year, LSU is finally undervalued. And yes, I’m very much aware that I’m calling a team that’s 3-4 SU and 1-6 ATS in its last seven games undervalued. How can I say that? Easy – LSU simply is a much better, much more experienced, much more complete and much more physical team than Arkansas.



In the end, that physicality will be the difference today, as the Tigers are simply much bigger and much stronger than Arkansas. Put it this way: The Razorbacks are averaging just 21.1 points and 371 total yards per game while giving up 31.3 points and 381.6 total yards per game. Not only that, but Arkansas is just 1-3 SU and ATS in their last four home games, including 0-3 SU and ATS against superior SEC foes in Alabama (49-14), Florida (38-7) and Mississippi (23-21).



Bottom line: LSU is WAY overdue for a blowout win, and the Tigers will get it here against Arkansas, which has no bowl hopes and can’t wait for the season to end.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-28-08

Asa
3-Stars #315 Ohio U ( pick’em ) @ Miami Oh – 11:30 am CST

3-Stars #332 Nebraska (-18) over Colorado – 2:30 pm CST

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-28-08

Stu's Friday College Football No Brainers (SF1)

Akron (58) at Temple (-2') - 1 p.m. EST







The Temple Owls are playing some of their best football of the season right now and while a win today over Akron won’t put them in the MAC title game or even make them bowl eligible, it would be significant. A victory today by the Owls at Lincoln Financial Field will be their fifth of the season, more than this program has enjoyed in a campaign since 1990. This team has a lot to play for and they will post a big number against this woeful Akron defense as the Owls cover this small price. Temple QB Adam DiMichele is now fully 100 percent healthy and playing at a very high level right now. In fact, he’s tossed nine touchdown passes in the past two weeks and surly will have a big day against this Zips’ stop unit that is ranked last in the MAC in total defense, pass efficiency defense and sacks. Akron has mustered a measly nine sacks in 11 games this year and DiMichele should have all day to throw this afternoon. After scoring 55 points in last week’s win over Eastern Michigan, this Temple team is brimming with confidence and ready to put on a show at Senior Day as the Owls are 9-5 ATS at home the last three years. With big-play WRs ion Bruce Francis and Jason Harper, the Owls will be able to effectively move the football at will against an Akron defense that has allowed a whopping 194 points in its last five games (38.8 ppg). The Zips’ kick coverage has been lacking, as well, as in last week’s loss to Buffalo, they allowed 296 yards and two scores on 10 kick and punt returns. Now Akron can move the football and they’ll have their share of success today, too. But it will be too little too late as it was last week when they had some late garbage TDs to make the loss to the Bulls look respectable. Temple’s defense is at least decent (only allowed 68 yards rushing last week to the Eagles) and they’re ranked a respectable 43rd in the country in red zone defense and 60th in scoring defense. Those are much better numbers than the Zips. Bottom line here is a senior QB in DiMichele playing his final game against a horrible pass defense (two breakups, no sacks the last two games) in Akron. The Zips, who lost at home to the Owls last year, are just 2-8 ATS the last three years in games where the line is from +3 to -3 (including 0-3 ATS this year). They don’t win the close ones and they won’t win this game either as Temple gets the job done at home and covers this small price.





TEMPLE (-2') 75 Dimes









--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Mississippi State (+18') at Ole Miss (46) - 12:30 p.m. EST






In Oxford this afternoon, this is just too many points for a banged up Ole Miss team to cover in what will be a letdown game after last week’s big win at LSU. This is the Egg Bowl and a rivalry game and a spirited Bulldog team will stay inside this inflated price. This is traditionally a tightly-contested game as this only the second time in the last 23 years this line has been more than 8-and-a-half-point spread. The Rebels won in Baton Rouge last Saturday, but make no mistake, that was a hard-hitting, bruised-muscle type of game. QB Jevan Sneed, who has been prone to turnovers all year long, was sacked late in the first half last week and injured his shoulder. He’s ready to go today after taking it easy in practice, but this thing is still bothering him and he’s one hit away from being taken from the game. In addition, the Rebels best cornerback, Marshay Green, is also nursing a big-time heel spur injury. He’s definitely not 100 percent this afternoon and might not go at all. Yes, the Rebels are the better team, but the Bulldogs (14-11 ATS as a dog and 9-6 ATS on the road the last three years) are playing with a lot of confidence after last week’s comeback win over Arkansas. If there’s one thing the MSU team has demonstrated this year it’s been resolve and a never-quit attitude. They hung tough at LSU (lost by 10) and have had road wins in recent years at Alabama and Auburn. They’ve had a lot of adversity this year, but last week down two TDs to Arkansas, they found a way to come back and win. They beat the Rebs last year in Starkville, lost by a FG two years ago in Oxford and are treating today’s game as their bowl game. Last week they had their best offensive game of the year with 445 yards and 31 points and demonstrated a strong running game (TB Anthony Dixon ran for 179 yards) to go along with an effective short passing game. Ole Miss scored a huge win at Florida earlier this year, but then came back home the next Saturday and fell to South Carolina. They won’t lose today, but the 24 seniors on the Mississippi State roster will make sure the Bulldogs play competitively throughout as the Bulldogs will stay inside this number.








MISSISSIPPI STATE (+18') 30 Dimes

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-28-08

Ats Locks
Wva-3 5 Unit
Buffalo -9 15 Unit
Celtics- 8.5 5 Unit
Kent State +4 5 Unit
California +8 5 Unit

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-28-08

Northcoast
4* UTEP +6-
3* C Mich over 63
small coll
4* Kent St +9-
3* Temple -2
Top Opinions
LSU-4-
Boise St-21
Nebraska-18
Pitt+3-